T-560 (Jordan, 2 Oct, via the design session). Round 7's run (CP worth 30, round 7's Feed the Swarm cap and one-drop Tyrannocyte kept) with round 7's grading replaced by Jordan's step rule and fixed letter cuts, in two views. Switch r8 (tools/tiertest.js, the round-7 command plus --r8json and --r8sliders); round 7's column comes from the same run and reproduces byte for byte. A report: nothing here changes a published score or page. Try the bars yourself: /lab/reports/tiers/sliders/.
What changed
- Grading: best job plus steps, no cap. Score = the best allowed job's percentile, +5 for each other allowed job at 90 or above (
V8C.ELITE,V8C.ELITE_STEP), +2 for each at 80 to 89 (V8C.STRONG,V8C.STRONG_STEP), nothing below 80. Never capped. Ties, and the order inside a letter, go to the mean of the other allowed jobs. 90/10/10/10 → 90; 90/70/70/70 → 90 ranked above it; 90/90/10/10 → 95; 90/90/90/10 → 100. Allowed jobs as round 7 (no Anvil at OC 0, no Anvil or Runner for a one-use unit or a joining Support character). - Letters on fixed cuts (all armies, the default): S ≥ 95, A ≥ 88, B ≥ 80, C ≥ 65, D below. No quota and no job-demand split.
- Within this army: the same scores ranked inside one army, lettered by position: top 10% S, next 15% A, next 25% B, next 30% C, the rest D (rounded to the nearest unit; an army of 10 or more units has at least one S). Tyranids: 52 units, so 5 S, 8 A, 13 B, 16 C, 10 D.
- The strict yardstick now compares the within-army view, since a public tier list is a view within one army: Auspex's letters re-cut at the within-army quota (each of its letters one tied block; its 13 S units become A, its A units B, its B and C units C, its D units D), then the same letter as ours. The all-armies view keeps round 7's ruler (Auspex re-cut at round 7's global quota) for comparison, and raw (Auspex's own letters) is shown for both views.
The Tyrannofex example. Jordan's worked example (93/89 → 95) used round 7's percentiles. In round 8's pool every other army's units pick their detachment by the new score, which lifts the field; the Tyrannofex's bare percentiles drop from 92.4/88.8 to 87.7/87.1, and its best detachment is now Crusher Stampede at Hammer 89.2, Anvil 92.4: 92.4 + 2 = 94.4, 0.6 short of S. The rule itself gives 93/89 → 95 as agreed.
The yardsticks
Against Auspex's 44 graded Tyranids (ungraded units out of all of them). Shuffle baselines: the mean over 2,000 random permutations of our letters against theirs (what chance alone gets). ρ's SE is Bonett and Wright's. ρ and list share don't depend on the view (they read the score).
| Yardstick | Round 7 | Round 8, all armies | Round 8, within army |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyranids: ρ with Auspex's order (SE) | 0.50 (±0.12) | 0.47 (±0.13) | same |
| Strict, on our ruler (of 44) | 20 | 16 (round 7's ruler) | 20 (within-army ruler) |
| Strict on our ruler: shuffle baseline | 10.3 | 8.6 | 10.6 |
| Strict, raw (of 44) | 12 | 19 | 13 |
| Strict, raw: shuffle baseline | – | 8.7 | 8.0 |
| Lenient, within one letter (of 44) | 29 | 31 | 30 |
| Lenient: shuffle baseline | 20.4 | 21.0 | 22.1 |
| ρ with Tyranid list share | 0.39 | 0.41 | same |
| Every unit: ρ with list share | 0.164 | 0.162 | same |
| Space Marines: ρ with Tista Minis (SE) | −0.05 (±0.19) | −0.18 (±0.19) | same |
| Orks: ρ with Sprues & Brews (SE) | −0.13 (±0.15) | −0.12 (±0.15) | same |
The other two panels (round 7 → round 8 all armies / within army; baselines in brackets):
| Panel | Units | Strict, our ruler | Strict, raw | Within one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Space Marines | 30 | 10 (6.2) → 3 (4.2) / 8 (7.1) | 4 → 8 (6.8) / 5 (7.2) | 22 (20.4) → 18 (19.2) / 17 (19.1) |
| Orks | 45 | 11 (9.7) → 6 (9.3) / 10 (10.2) | 16 → 10 (10.7) / 10 (9.3) | 29 (29.6) → 30 (29.0) / 28 (26.6) |
The Tyranid table, all 44 units Auspex grades
Sorted by Auspex's tier, then name. Round 7's letters are its global quota letters. Score and the four job percentiles are round 8's (each unit's best detachment under round 8). Lists: the Tyranid winning lists (of 23) that took the unit. What moved: round 7 → round 8 in the all-armies view, as the sum that makes the score.
| Unit | Pts | Auspex | Round 7 | Round 8 all armies | Round 8 within army | Score | Hammer | Anvil | Runner | Banner | Lists | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biovores | 60 | S | B | A | B | 92.5 | 13 | 28 | 93 | 0 | 22 of 23 | Runner 92.5 alone = 92.5: A ≥ 88 |
| Hive Tyrant | 195 | S | B | A | B | 90.7 | 50 | 52 | 13 | 91 | 6 of 23 | Banner 90.7 alone = 90.7: A ≥ 88 |
| Hormagaunts | 70 | S | S | S | S | 98.5 | 25 | 99 | 71 | 0 | 13 of 23 | |
| Hyperadapted Raveners | 165 | S | D | D | C | 63.4 | 63 | 31 | 23 | 49 | 11 of 23 | |
| Maleceptor | 180 | S | C | C | C | 77.8 | 55 | 78 | 15 | 26 | 8 of 23 | |
| Neurolictor | 80 | S | B | S | A | 97.2 | 28 | 23 | 97 | 31 | 17 of 23 | Runner 97.2 alone = 97.2: S ≥ 95 |
| Norn Assimilator | 250 | S | S | S | A | 96.2 | 66 | 96 | 11 | 11 | 5 of 23 | |
| Norn Emissary | 250 | S | A | S | A | 96.4 | 64 | 96 | 11 | 1 | 8 of 23 | Anvil 96.4 alone = 96.4: S ≥ 95 |
| Raveners | 125 | S | D | D | D | 55.1 | 44 | 48 | 55 | 0 | 12 of 23 | |
| The Swarmlord | 210 | S | A | S | A | 96.3 | 58 | 47 | 12 | 96 | 13 of 23 | Banner 96.3 alone = 96.3: S ≥ 95 |
| Tyrannofex | 170 | S | S | A | A | 94.4 | 89 | 92 | 16 | 0 | 7 of 23 | Anvil 92.4 +2 (Hammer 89.2) = 94.4: A ≥ 88 |
| Von Ryan's Leapers | 55 | S | B | A | B | 94.1 | 37 | 79 | 94 | 0 | 12 of 23 | Runner 94.1 alone = 94.1: A ≥ 88 |
| Zoanthropes | 90 | S | D | C | C | 65.5 | 66 | 48 | 50 | 14 | 16 of 23 | Hammer 65.5 alone = 65.5: C ≥ 65 |
| Deathleaper | 80 | A | B | S | S | 97.8 | 38 | 27 | 98 | 6 | 7 of 23 | Runner 97.8 alone = 97.8: S ≥ 95 |
| Exocrine | 135 | A | C | C | C | 78.3 | 65 | 78 | 23 | 6 | 4 of 23 | |
| Hive Guard | 80 | A | C | C | C | 73.0 | 73 | 70 | 58 | 0 | 1 of 23 | |
| Neurotyrant | 130 | A | C | B | B | 86.5 | 34 | 50 | 20 | 86 | 17 of 23 | Banner 86.5 alone = 86.5: B ≥ 80 |
| Pyrovores | 40 | A | D | D | C | 61.7 | 13 | 49 | 41 | 62 | 4 of 23 | |
| The Red Terror | 130 | A | D | D | D | 55.6 | 56 | 38 | 50 | 0 | 10 of 23 | |
| Winged Hive Tyrant | 185 | A | D | D | C | 56.0 | 56 | 35 | 16 | 53 | 1 of 23 | |
| Haruspex | 125 | B | C | B | B | 83.3 | 63 | 83 | 27 | 3 | 3 of 23 | Anvil 83.3 alone = 83.3: B ≥ 80 |
| Mawloc | 135 | B | C | C | C | 78.3 | 49 | 78 | 36 | 0 | 2 of 23 | |
| Neurogaunts | 45 | B | A | S | S | 99.4 | 24 | 99 | 49 | 0 | 2 of 23 | Anvil 99.4 alone = 99.4: S ≥ 95 |
| Old One Eye | 140 | B | B | B | B | 87.9 | 67 | 84 | 23 | 86 | 4 of 23 | |
| Parasite of Mortrex | 70 | B | C | B | B | 86.0 | 18 | 15 | 86 | 6 | 1 of 23 | Runner 86.0 alone = 86.0: B ≥ 80 |
| Psychophage | 110 | B | C | B | C | 82.7 | 50 | 83 | 63 | 8 | 5 of 23 | Anvil 82.7 alone = 82.7: B ≥ 80 |
| Ripper Swarms | 30 | B | C | B | C | 82.5 | 8 | 0 | 55 | 83 | 1 of 23 | Banner 82.5 alone = 82.5: B ≥ 80 |
| Screamer-killer | 125 | B | C | B | C | 82.8 | 83 | 55 | 25 | 11 | 3 of 23 | Hammer 82.8 alone = 82.8: B ≥ 80 |
| Tervigon | 160 | B | B | A | B | 93.6 | 50 | 94 | 18 | 48 | 0 of 23 | Anvil 93.6 alone = 93.6: A ≥ 88 |
| Trygon | 140 | B | C | C | C | 76.0 | 60 | 76 | 31 | 0 | 6 of 23 | |
| Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons | 75 | B | C | C | C | 79.4 | 19 | 79 | 43 | 6 | 4 of 23 | |
| Tyrant Guard | 80 | B | C | C | C | 79.9 | 48 | 80 | 64 | 0 | 4 of 23 | |
| Venomthropes | 55 | B | C | B | B | 83.2 | 34 | 83 | 59 | 44 | 1 of 23 | Anvil 83.2 alone = 83.2: B ≥ 80 |
| Carnifexes | 90 | C | B | A | B | 89.4 | 58 | 89 | 43 | 0 | 4 of 23 | Anvil 89.4 alone = 89.4: A ≥ 88 |
| Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip | 75 | C | A | S | A | 97.4 | 22 | 19 | 64 | 97 | 11 of 23 | Banner 97.4 alone = 97.4: S ≥ 95 |
| Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons | 60 | C | B | A | B | 90.9 | 36 | 91 | 48 | 6 | 1 of 23 | Anvil 90.9 alone = 90.9: A ≥ 88 |
| Tyrannocyte | 80 | C | D | D | D | 40.6 | 41 | 59 | 68 | 21 | 0 of 23 | |
| Harpy | 185 | D | D | D | D | 46.6 | 47 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 of 23 | |
| Harridan | 610 | D | D | D | D | 52.8 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 of 23 | |
| Hierophant | 810 | D | D | D | D | 53.8 | 54 | 36 | 0 | 27 | 0 of 23 | |
| Hive Crone | 170 | D | D | D | D | 51.9 | 52 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 of 23 | |
| Mucolid Spores | 30 | D | D | D | D | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 | 0 of 23 | |
| Spore Mines | 55 | D | D | D | D | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 0 of 23 | |
| Sporocyst | 145 | D | D | D | D | 37.3 | 37 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 of 23 |
The 8 Tyranids Auspex doesn't grade
| Unit | Pts | Round 7 | Round 8 all armies | Round 8 within army | Score | Hammer | Anvil | Runner | Banner | Lists | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barbgaunts | 55 | C | B | B | 85.3 | 39 | 85 | 41 | 0 | 0 of 23 | Anvil 85.3 alone = 85.3: B ≥ 80 |
| Broodlord | 80 | C | B | C | 82.3 | 26 | 24 | 74 | 82 | 9 of 23 | Banner 82.3 alone = 82.3: B ≥ 80 |
| Gargoyles | 80 | S | S | S | 99.0 | 23 | 97 | 80 | 0 | 3 of 23 | |
| Genestealers | 75 | C | C | C | 72.7 | 38 | 68 | 73 | 0 | 11 of 23 | |
| Lictor | 60 | B | S | A | 97.7 | 34 | 28 | 98 | 64 | 11 of 23 | Runner 97.7 alone = 97.7: S ≥ 95 |
| Termagants | 60 | A | S | S | 99.7 | 49 | 100 | 44 | 0 | 4 of 23 | Anvil 99.7 alone = 99.7: S ≥ 95 |
| Toxicrene | 120 | B | B | B | 85.7 | 60 | 86 | 30 | 41 | 0 of 23 | |
| Winged Tyranid Prime | 65 | S | S | A | 96.5 | 11 | 23 | 77 | 96 | 2 of 23 |
Two letters or more from Auspex in the within-army view: 8 units
Gap: our within-army letter against Auspex re-cut at the within-army quota (+ we rate it lower, − higher). Reasons from the round-4 diagnostics where they hold, our numbers otherwise.
| Unit | Auspex | On our ruler | Round 8 within army | Gap | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raveners | S | A | D | +3 | Deep Strike plus a free return to Strategic Reserves each enemy turn, so it re-arrives every round; we play one arrival (best job Runner 55) |
| Neurogaunts | B | C | S | −3 | Cheap bodies with OC: Anvil 99 per point, which the best job takes at face value; in 2 of 23 lists |
| Hyperadapted Raveners | S | A | C | +2 | Bought to lead Raveners (Sustained Hits for the joined unit) and to make Rapid Ingress cheaper and repeatable; scored alone, its best job is Hammer 63 and nothing else reaches 80 |
| Maleceptor | S | A | C | +2 | Its aura makes enemies near it worse at hitting, a defensive debuff on the enemy that Banner doesn't count; Anvil 78 alone |
| The Red Terror | A | B | D | +2 | Goes back to Strategic Reserves after fighting and heals when it eats infantry; we play one arrival and no healing (best job Hammer 56) |
| Zoanthropes | S | A | C | +2 | Its worth is for others (Synapse, Shadow in the Warp), which we count by stated guesses; Hammer 66 is its best and no other job reaches 80 |
| Deathleaper | A | B | S | −2 | Runner 98 alone: an Infiltrator that does actions anywhere scores top of the Runner job per point; Auspex rates it below its S tier, and 7 of 23 lists take it |
| Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip | C | C | A | −2 | In 11 of 23 winning lists; leads Hormagaunts, Termagants and Warriors and gives the squad Sustained Hits (Banner 97), which is what we credit |
Every army, round 7 → round 8 (all-armies view), and how many S each holds
561 of 1161 letters move, 520 up and 41 down. The fixed cuts are looser than round 7's quota (B started near 88 there, 80 here), so most moves are up: 246 units are S in the all-armies view (round 7's quota made 81). Sorted by the share of the army's units that are S. Top-quarter lists: the army's lists in the top quarter of their events, June to September (data/metatrack.json; 150 lists, so small counts; a chapter's lists count under the chapter, so plain Space Marines has 1). A letter that moved with a score that barely did moved because the cut did. Over the 29 armies with 10 or more units, ρ between the S share and those lists is −0.37.
| Army | Units | Up | Down | S, all armies | S share | S, within army | Top-quarter lists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imperial Fists | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 67% | 0 | 2 |
| Deathwatch | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 50% | 1 | 0 |
| Salamanders | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 50% | 0 | 3 |
| White Scars | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50% | 0 | 0 |
| Black Templars | 19 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 47% | 2 | 1 |
| Space Marines | 84 | 44 | 3 | 35 | 42% | 8 | 1 |
| Space Wolves | 21 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 38% | 2 | 4 |
| Leagues of Votann | 22 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 32% | 2 | 5 |
| Agents of the Imperium | 29 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 31% | 3 | 1 |
| Adepta Sororitas | 33 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 27% | 3 | 6 |
| Blood Angels | 16 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 25% | 2 | 3 |
| Dark Angels | 16 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25% | 2 | 2 |
| Genestealer Cults | 90 | 41 | 4 | 21 | 23% | 9 | 2 |
| World Eaters | 30 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 23% | 3 | 5 |
| Tyranids | 52 | 24 | 1 | 12 | 23% | 5 | 8 |
| Death Guard | 36 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 22% | 4 | 7 |
| T'au Empire | 43 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 21% | 4 | 12 |
| Astra Militarum | 72 | 26 | 4 | 15 | 21% | 7 | 4 |
| Orks | 55 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 20% | 6 | 6 |
| Necrons | 52 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 19% | 5 | 15 |
| Chaos Space Marines | 58 | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19% | 6 | 6 |
| Chaos Knights | 27 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19% | 3 | 1 |
| Aeldari | 76 | 29 | 1 | 13 | 17% | 8 | 6 |
| Grey Knights | 26 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 15% | 3 | 3 |
| Adeptus Mechanicus | 34 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 15% | 3 | 9 |
| Drukhari | 37 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 14% | 4 | 1 |
| Adeptus Custodes | 31 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 13% | 3 | 11 |
| Imperial Knights | 27 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 11% | 3 | 1 |
| Ultramarines | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9% | 1 | 4 |
| Emperor's Children | 23 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 9% | 2 | 9 |
| Thousand Sons | 35 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 6% | 4 | 6 |
| Chaos Daemons | 77 | 32 | 0 | 4 | 5% | 8 | 5 |
| Adeptus Titanicus | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 |
| Iron Hands | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 |
| Raven Guard | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 |
| Titanicus Traitoris | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 |