5 Oct. Jordan's colleague: "the point of these iterations is to identify knobs and sliders that can be tweaked to reflect things that are harder to model ... if it isn't working quite right it needs adjustment, not to be thrown out." Each switch built since step 18 now has a strength dial (docs/lab/ledger/ledger.js DIALS, design/ledger.md section 27); this report sweeps each one, one at a time, on Track B (tools/ledger-benchmarks/2026-10-05-trackB.json), Tyranids only. A map of the curves, not a decision: nothing here is adopted. The supervisor and the colleague pick the strengths.
The short answer
Four ideas help Tyranids at some strength, and they still help when the strength is chosen on other units:
| Idea (dial) | Best strength | Five lists | Held out (a) | Strength chosen in the folds | What it moves (consensus tier) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kill on arrival (arrivalKillW, step 18) | 1.5 (built: 1) | +0.7 | +2.2 | +1.3 (1.5 picked in 25 of 25 folds) | up: Red Terror 22→12 (A), Genestealers 23→17 (A), Trygon 12→9 (B), Deathleaper 6→4 (B); down: Hormagaunts 10→13 (A), Zoanthropes, Hive Tyrant (A) |
Secondary VP (secondaryVPW, step 27) | 0.5 (built: 1) | +1.4 | +1.3 | +0.8 (0.5 picked) | up: Neurolictor 11→5 (S), Old One Eye 21→15 (B), Pyrovores; down: Hive Crone 37→44 (D), Harridan 26→32 (C), Hierophant 32→38 (C) |
Support measured (supportMeasuredW, step 37, on) | 3 (the grid's edge; on: 1) | +1.0 | +1.3 | +0.9 (3 picked) | up: Winged Tyranid Prime 43→35 (B), Prime with Lash Whip 17→11 (A), Neurotyrant 39→33 (A); down: Von Ryan's Leapers 2→6, Mawloc, Toxicrene |
Battle-shock pressure (shockPressureW, step 34, on) | 2 (on: 1) | +1.0 | +1.1 | −0.1 (a two-unit dial: the folds can't find it) | up: Neurolictor 11→2 (S), Neurotyrant 39→25 (A); everything else one place down |
Smaller or mixed: the Score floor (scoreFloorW 0.5: +0.1 lists, +0.6 held out, +0.3 chosen in folds), scarce answers (scarceAnswersW 0.5: +0.8 lists but −0.4 held out; at full strength −2.8), every mission card (missionVPW 0.25: +0.8 lists, −1.3 held out). Nothing at any strength: Kill by class (killClassWeightW: Tyranid role scarcity already tilts Kill 3.7× toward tough targets, so it only stirs past 2.7), toughness with threat (threatSoakW), dedicated transports (wCarry: only the Tyrannocyte moves, up and away from its D, and every step costs the lists), the attach rate under preferred targets (attachRate: inert while preferred targets is on; see below). Worse at every strength: lifeKill's survival (lifeSurvive > 0 costs 0.4 to 2.2 points; 0 is Track B) and its blend (lifeBlend with lifeMode 1: best 0.75, −0.3), the VP ledger (every cell of the grid below Track B), and the preferred-target caps (preferC, preferN: no strength beats 4/4 out of sample; chosen in the folds −2.8 and −1.3, the signature of fitting noise).
Stacked (the four that help, at their best strengths): five lists 77.7% → 81.4% (Track A 79.3%), held out (a) 78.7% → 83.0%, 27 Tyranid units closer to the reviewers and 21 farther, the mean gap 8.7 → 7.0 places, 25 → 28 in the reviewers' tier. The guard: with the four strengths chosen together inside the folds (72 stacked settings, the best on the training units, scored on the held-out fold; 20 repeats × 5 folds) the stack scores 80.9% against Track B's 77.2%, +3.8 points (SD over repeats 1.1). It picks arrival 1.5–2, secondary 0.25–0.5, support 3 and shock 2 almost every time. One optimism left in it: the four dials were chosen from this report's own one-at-a-time runs, on all 52 units.
The screens-and-secondaries question (vpPerUnit × vpMissionW, the VP ledger on, below). With every line in VP the ledger is below Track B wherever the dials sit (best: per unit, mission at half weight, 76.5% against 77.7%); the mission line hurts at full weight and more (72% at 1, 67–69% at 2–3). Per unit against per point matters only at half weight (per point 74.7%, per unit 76.5%): counting a unit's VP as the unit's (a cheap scorer worth more than its points) edges counting it in proportion to points. Per point lifts the dear units (Norn Emissary 31→11, Hierophant 32→16, Tervigon 41→21) and drops cheap ones (Prime with Lash Whip 17→29, Termagants); per unit lifts Tervigon, Neurogaunts and Old One Eye. So on Tyranids today: "×1.005 or ×2 their points" reads closer to the cheap-scorer end, but the mission line in VP is too strong whichever way it's split. The secondary line priced on the old ledger (secondaryVPW 0.5, above) is where the scoring idea helps.
How to read the columns. Five lists: the mean pairwise over tyr.auspexFull, hivemindFull, secondFull, maelstrom and astrategas, in sample (a strength picked by looking at it can overfit). Held out (a): tools/diagnose.js's ledger as it is, scored on pairs within 5 folds of units (2 repeats); nothing is fitted, so on its own it is a subsample of the in-sample pairs, not a guard against choosing the strength. (a1): the ledger's seven classic lines re-fitted in the folds; it reads no other line, so it can't see a dial that acts through support measured, Battle-shock, the mission or secondary lines (they move it by nothing) and doesn't apply with the VP ledger on. Chosen in the folds (nested): on each training fold the grid value with the best pairwise against the consensus, scored on the held-out fold's pairs (5 repeats × 5 folds; the base scored the same way alongside): this is the guard: a gain there carries to units the strength wasn't picked on. Closer / farther, gap, in tier: tools/stepmoves.js against Track B (52 graded Tyranid units). Up / down most: the five biggest rank moves each way (of 52), with the reviewers' consensus tier.
The attach rate under attachChars alone (preferred targets off, so attachChars supplies the Kill; base Track B with preferredTargets=0, 79.0%): 0.4 gives 80.0% lists (+1.1), held out +0.9, chosen in the folds +1.0 (0.4 picked 19 of 25); 0 equals burstKill (+0.6); 1 is worse (−0.2). Psychophage 40→30 (B), Broodlord 21→15 (A) up; Harridan 30→36 (C), Zoanthropes down. Under preferred targets (Track B) the dial only re-splits the field's character points (the class Bursts stay as tools/burst.js --prefer measured them at 0.8) and no Tyranid form's character cap binds, so it moves nothing; a real attach-rate dial there needs burst.js --prefer re-run at other rates. Note too: Track B with preferred targets off is 79.0% (+1.3) and +0.6 held out.
The stack, step by step (information, not a choice)
| Setting | Five lists (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| arrival 1.5 | 78.4% (+0.7) | 0.652 | 80.9% (+2.2) | 73.1% (+1.5) | 17 / 12 | 8.7 → 8.3 | 25 → 25 | The Red Terror 22→12 (A); Genestealers 23→17 (A); Trygon 12→9 (B); Deathleaper 6→4 (B); Raveners 16→14 (A) | Hormagaunts 10→13 (A); Zoanthropes 15→18 (A); Hive Tyrant 5→7 (A); Exocrine 9→11 (A); Haruspex 13→15 (B) |
| + secondary 0.5 | 79.8% (+2.1) | 0.675 | 81.1% (+2.4) | 73.1% (+1.5) | 22 / 16 | 8.7 → 7.8 | 25 → 24 | The Red Terror 22→11 (A); Neurolictor 11→5 (S); Genestealers 23→18 (A); Neurogaunts 42→37 (C); Old One Eye 21→17 (B) | Harridan 26→33 (C); Hive Crone 37→44 (D); Hierophant 32→38 (C); Hormagaunts 10→15 (A); Zoanthropes 15→19 (A) |
| + support 3 | 80.8% (+3.1) | 0.693 | 82.4% (+3.7) | 73.8% (+2.2) | 26 / 18 | 8.7 → 7.4 | 25 → 27 | Parasite of Mortrex 47→33 (C); The Red Terror 22→12 (A); Neurotyrant 39→31 (A); Winged Tyranid Prime 43→35 (B); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→13 (A) | Harridan 26→38 (C); Hierophant 32→41 (C); Hive Crone 37→45 (D); Hormagaunts 10→16 (A); Screamer-killer 18→24 (B) |
| + shock 2 | 81.4% (+3.7) | 0.704 | 83.0% (+4.3) | 73.8% (+2.2) | 27 / 21 | 8.7 → 7.0 | 25 → 28 | Neurotyrant 39→21 (A); Parasite of Mortrex 47→33 (C); Neurolictor 11→1 (S); The Red Terror 22→12 (A); Winged Tyranid Prime 43→35 (B) | Harridan 26→38 (C); Hierophant 32→41 (C); Hive Crone 37→45 (D); Screamer-killer 18→25 (B); Carnifexes 20→27 (C) |
| the four at half their step (arrival 1.25, secondary 0.25, support 2, shock 1.5) | 79.8% (+2.1) | 0.680 | 81.9% (+3.2) | 73.1% (+1.5) | 22 / 12 | 8.7 → 7.6 | 25 → 28 | Neurotyrant 39→27 (A); The Red Terror 22→13 (A); Neurolictor 11→5 (S); Parasite of Mortrex 47→42 (C); Winged Tyranid Prime 43→39 (B) | Harridan 26→32 (C); Hive Crone 37→43 (D); Screamer-killer 18→22 (B); Hierophant 32→36 (C); Zoanthropes 15→18 (A) |
Each row adds one dial at its best strength from the sweep. The last row is the four at half their step from where they were built, for comparison. The guard for the stack is the nested choice above (+3.8 points held out); in-sample rows can overfit.
The dials ranked by their best held-out gain (one at a time, on Track B)
Base: tools/ledger-benchmarks/2026-10-05-trackB.json. Lists: tyr.auspexFull, tyr.hivemindFull, tyr.secondFull, tyr.maelstrom, tyr.astrategas. Held out: quick. 17 dials; 341 s.
| Dial (switch, base) | Best held-out (a) at | Held out (a) Δ | (a1) Δ there | Lists Δ there | Closer / farther there | Best lists at (Δ) | Nested: chosen in folds vs base |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| arrivalKillW (arrivalKill off, 1) | 1.5 | +2.2 | +1.5 | +0.7 | 17 / 12 | 1.5 (+0.7) | +1.3 (picked 1.5) |
| secondaryVPW (secondaryVP off, 1) | 0.5 | +1.3 | −0.2 | +1.4 | 21 / 19 | 0.5 (+1.4) | +0.8 (picked 0.5) |
| supportMeasuredW (supportMeasured on, 1) | 3 | +1.3 | −0.2 | +1.0 | 21 / 21 | 3 (+1.0) | +0.9 (picked 3) |
| shockPressureW (shockPressure on, 1) | 2 | +1.1 | ±0.0 | +1.0 | 15 / 9 | 3 (+1.2) | −0.1 (picked 3) |
| scoreFloorW (scoreFloor off, 1) | 0.5 | +0.6 | +0.2 | +0.1 | 6 / 6 | 0.25 (+0.2) | +0.3 (picked 0.25) |
| preferC (preferredTargets on, 4) | 8 | +0.2 | +0.4 | ±0.0 | 17 / 17 | 3 (+0.5) | −2.8 (picked 6) |
| preferN (preferredTargets on, 4) | 2 | +0.2 | +0.4 | ±0.0 | 17 / 17 | 1 (+0.2) | −1.3 (picked 1) |
| scarceAnswersW (scarceAnswers off, 1) | none above the base | – | – | – | – | 0.5 (+0.8) | +0.7 (picked 0.5) |
| wCarry (carryDedicated off, 0) | none above the base | – | – | – | – | 0 (±0.0) | ±0.0 (picked 0) |
| killClassWeightW (killClassWeight off, 1) | none above the base | – | – | – | – | 3 (±0.0) | −0.3 (picked 0) |
| missionVPW (missionVP off, 1) | none above the base | – | – | – | – | 0.25 (+0.8) | ±0.0 (picked 0.25) |
| threatSoakW (threatSoak on, 1) | none above the base | – | – | – | – | 0 (+0.1) | +0.3 (picked 0) |
| attachRate (attachChars on, 0.8) | none above the base | – | – | – | – | 0 (±0.0) | ±0.0 (picked 0) |
| lifeSurvive (lifeKill off, 1) | none above the base | – | – | – | – | 0 (±0.0) | ±0.0 (picked 0) |
| lifeBlend (lifeKill off, 0.5) | none above the base | – | – | – | – | 0.75 (−0.3) | −2.2 (picked 0.75) |
| vpMissionW (vpLedger off, 1) | none above the base | – | – | – | – | 0.5 (−1.2) | −1.0 (picked 0.5) |
| vpPerUnit (vpLedger off, 1) | none above the base | – | – | – | – | 0 (−4.6) | −6.3 (picked 0) |
Best held-out (a) at: the strength with the most held-out (a) above Track B, or none. Nested: the strength chosen in the folds against Track B scored the same way, and the strength picked most often. A dial whose switch is off on Track B is swept with the switch on (its 0 is the switch at no strength, equal to off where design/ledger.md section 27 says so).
The screens-and-secondaries grid (vpPerUnit × vpMissionW, the VP ledger on)
Five Tyranid lists, mean pairwise (rows vpPerUnit, columns vpMissionW; the VP ledger on):
| vpPerUnit \ vpMissionW | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75.3% | 74.7% | 73.1% | 68.6% | 67.1% |
| 0.25 | 75.3% | 75.3% | 72.9% | 68.8% | 67.6% |
| 0.5 | 75.3% | 75.7% | 72.3% | 69.0% | 67.5% |
| 0.75 | 75.3% | 76.3% | 72.6% | 69.4% | 66.6% |
| 1 | 75.3% | 76.5% | 72.2% | 68.9% | 67.4% |
Held-out Tyranid units, the ledger as it is (a) (rows vpPerUnit, columns vpMissionW; the VP ledger on):
| vpPerUnit \ vpMissionW | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75.9% | 74.6% | 71.0% | 66.2% | 64.1% |
| 0.25 | 75.9% | 75.1% | 71.2% | 65.4% | 64.1% |
| 0.5 | 75.9% | 75.5% | 71.0% | 66.9% | 64.7% |
| 0.75 | 75.9% | 75.5% | 71.6% | 66.9% | 64.7% |
| 1 | 75.9% | 75.5% | 71.0% | 67.7% | 65.4% |
Tyranid units closer to the reviewers than the base, minus farther (rows vpPerUnit, columns vpMissionW; the VP ledger on):
| vpPerUnit \ vpMissionW | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | −4 | −8 | −5 | −15 | −14 |
| 0.25 | −4 | −5 | −10 | −9 | −7 |
| 0.5 | −4 | −1 | −11 | −14 | −8 |
| 0.75 | −4 | ±0 | −10 | −12 | −5 |
| 1 | −4 | −3 | −9 | −6 | −2 |
The base: five lists 77.7%, held out (a) 78.7%. (a1) doesn't apply with the VP ledger on (its seven lines are replaced by VP).
Every dial's curve
arrivalKillW (arrivalKill, off in the base; base value 1)
× ARRIVE_W (1/3): the arrival turn's Kill counts w × 1/3; the arrival reach on Presence comes back as w falls below 1 (reach 1 + (reach − 1)(1 − w)), so 0 is off
| arrivalKillW | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base (switch off) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.25 | 77.7% (+0.1) | 0.642 | 79.1% (+0.4) | 71.8% (+0.2) | 4 / 2 | 8.7 → 8.6 | 25 → 26 | The Red Terror 22→19 (A); Deathleaper 6→5 (B) | Hive Tyrant 5→6 (A); Norn Assimilator 19→20 (A); Carnifexes 20→21 (C); Old One Eye 21→22 (B) |
| 0.5 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.640 | 79.4% (+0.6) | 72.0% (+0.4) | 9 / 6 | 8.7 → 8.6 | 25 → 26 | The Red Terror 22→17 (A); Trygon 12→10 (B); Deathleaper 6→5 (B); Raveners 16→15 (A); Winged Tyranid Prime 43→42 (B) | Hive Tyrant 5→6 (A); Hormagaunts 10→11 (A); Neurolictor 11→12 (S); Zoanthropes 15→16 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→18 (A) |
| 1 | 77.8% (+0.2) | 0.644 | 79.8% (+1.1) | 72.7% (+1.1) | 10 / 9 | 8.7 → 8.5 | 25 → 25 | The Red Terror 22→15 (A); Genestealers 23→18 (A); Trygon 12→9 (B); Deathleaper 6→4 (B); Raveners 16→14 (A) | Hive Tyrant 5→7 (A); Hormagaunts 10→12 (A); Tyrannofex 14→16 (A); Zoanthropes 15→17 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→19 (A) |
| 1.5 | 78.4% (+0.7) | 0.652 | 80.9% (+2.2) | 73.1% (+1.5) | 17 / 12 | 8.7 → 8.3 | 25 → 25 | The Red Terror 22→12 (A); Genestealers 23→17 (A); Trygon 12→9 (B); Deathleaper 6→4 (B); Raveners 16→14 (A) | Hormagaunts 10→13 (A); Zoanthropes 15→18 (A); Hive Tyrant 5→7 (A); Exocrine 9→11 (A); Haruspex 13→15 (B) |
| 2 | 78.3% (+0.6) | 0.651 | 80.2% (+1.5) | 73.5% (+1.9) | 16 / 14 | 8.7 → 8.4 | 25 → 25 | The Red Terror 22→10 (A); Genestealers 23→16 (A); Trygon 12→9 (B); Raveners 16→13 (A); Gargoyles 45→42 (A) | Hormagaunts 10→14 (A); Exocrine 9→12 (A); Tyrannofex 14→17 (A); Zoanthropes 15→18 (A); The Swarmlord 4→6 (S) |
| 3 | 77.9% (+0.3) | 0.646 | 80.0% (+1.3) | 73.8% (+2.2) | 14 / 20 | 8.7 → 8.6 | 25 → 25 | The Red Terror 22→8 (A); Genestealers 23→13 (A); Raveners 16→11 (A); Gargoyles 45→41 (A); Trygon 12→9 (B) | Hive Tyrant 5→10 (A); Exocrine 9→14 (A); Hormagaunts 10→15 (A); Haruspex 13→16 (B); Tyrannofex 14→17 (A) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 77.7% held out against the base's 76.4% (+1.3); picked 1.5 ×25.
scarceAnswersW (scarceAnswers, off in the base; base value 1)
Kill_off + w × (Kill_on − Kill_off): role scarcity's factor s becomes s + w(1 − s) (never below 0) and the gaps add w × their sum; 0 is off
| scarceAnswersW | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base (switch off) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.25 | 78.1% (+0.4) | 0.646 | 78.5% (−0.2) | 71.8% (+0.2) | 19 / 12 | 8.7 → 8.5 | 25 → 25 | The Red Terror 22→19 (A); Genestealers 23→20 (A); Barbgaunts 29→26 (C); Neurolictor 11→9 (S); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→25 (C) | Harridan 26→30 (C); Maleceptor 34→37 (A); Exocrine 9→11 (A); Zoanthropes 15→17 (A); Norn Assimilator 19→21 (A) |
| 0.5 | 78.4% (+0.8) | 0.650 | 78.3% (−0.4) | 70.8% (−0.9) | 21 / 20 | 8.7 → 8.4 | 25 → 26 | Genestealers 23→17 (A); Barbgaunts 29→24 (C); Venomthropes 36→31 (C); Neurolictor 11→7 (S); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→14 (A) | Harridan 26→34 (C); Old One Eye 21→26 (B); Hierophant 32→37 (C); Maleceptor 34→38 (A); Zoanthropes 15→18 (A) |
| 1 | 74.9% (−2.8) | 0.579 | 73.8% (−4.9) | 64.9% (−6.7) | 21 / 23 | 8.7 → 9.5 | 25 → 23 | Barbgaunts 29→10 (C); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→14 (C); Genestealers 23→12 (A); Pyrovores 30→20 (B); Venomthropes 36→26 (C) | Harridan 26→42 (C); Tyrannofex 14→27 (A); Exocrine 9→21 (A); Norn Assimilator 19→31 (A); Old One Eye 21→32 (B) |
| 1.5 | 70.6% (−7.1) | 0.493 | 68.6% (−10.1) | 61.9% (−9.7) | 20 / 24 | 8.7 → 11.1 | 25 → 19 | Barbgaunts 29→6 (C); Venomthropes 36→17 (C); Pyrovores 30→12 (B); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→10 (C); Mawloc 33→16 (B) | Harridan 26→47 (C); Exocrine 9→29 (A); Tyrannofex 14→34 (A); Old One Eye 21→39 (B); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→24 (B) |
| 2 | 64.4% (−13.3) | 0.363 | 63.9% (−14.8) | 59.6% (−12.0) | 19 / 29 | 8.7 → 12.9 | 25 → 18 | Venomthropes 36→12 (C); Barbgaunts 29→6 (C); Mawloc 33→13 (B); Termagants 38→18 (B); Tyrant Guard 40→20 (B) | Exocrine 9→37 (A); Tyrannofex 14→42 (A); Harridan 26→52 (C); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→32 (A); Norn Assimilator 19→43 (A) |
| 3 | 58.0% (−19.7) | 0.207 | 57.4% (−21.3) | 54.2% (−17.4) | 15 / 32 | 8.7 → 15.3 | 25 → 14 | Tyrant Guard 40→15 (B); Venomthropes 36→12 (C); Termagants 38→14 (B); Barbgaunts 29→6 (C); Gargoyles 45→23 (A) | Hyperadapted Raveners 7→45 (A); Hive Tyrant 5→41 (A); The Swarmlord 4→36 (S); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→40 (B); Screamer-killer 18→47 (B) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 77.1% held out against the base's 76.4% (+0.7); picked 0.5 ×14, 0.25 ×11.
wCarry (carryDedicated, off in the base; base value 0)
the Transports call itself (T-629), already a weight on the Carry line: with carryDedicated on it weighs the Dedicated Transports only, 0 is off and 1 is step 20; with it off it weighs every carrier, as it always has
| wCarry | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base (switch off) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.25 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.5 | 77.4% (−0.3) | 0.636 | 78.3% (−0.4) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 1 / 7 | 8.7 → 8.8 | 25 → 24 | Tyrannocyte 48→41 (D) | Tervigon 41→42 (C); Neurogaunts 42→43 (C); Winged Tyranid Prime 43→44 (B); Psychophage 44→45 (B); Gargoyles 45→46 (A) |
| 1 | 77.0% (−0.7) | 0.630 | 77.8% (−0.9) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 6 / 11 | 8.7 → 9.0 | 25 → 24 | Tyrannocyte 48→32 (D) | Hierophant 32→33 (C); Mawloc 33→34 (B); Maleceptor 34→35 (A); Toxicrene 35→36 (D); Venomthropes 36→37 (C) |
| 1.5 | 76.6% (−1.0) | 0.623 | 77.6% (−1.1) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 10 / 14 | 8.7 → 9.1 | 25 → 24 | Tyrannocyte 48→24 (D) | Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 24→25 (B); Broodlord 25→26 (A); Harridan 26→27 (C); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→28 (C); Hive Guard 28→29 (B) |
| 2 | 75.9% (−1.7) | 0.609 | 76.3% (−2.4) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 16 / 20 | 8.7 → 9.4 | 25 → 24 | Tyrannocyte 48→12 (D) | Trygon 12→13 (B); Haruspex 13→14 (B); Tyrannofex 14→15 (A); Zoanthropes 15→16 (A); Raveners 16→17 (A) |
| 3 | 75.5% (−2.2) | 0.595 | 75.7% (−3.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 20 / 24 | 8.7 → 9.5 | 25 → 23 | Tyrannocyte 48→4 (D) | The Swarmlord 4→5 (S); Hive Tyrant 5→6 (A); Deathleaper 6→7 (B); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→8 (A); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→9 (B) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 76.4% held out against the base's 76.4% (±0.0); picked 0 ×25.
scoreFloorW (scoreFloor, off in the base; base value 1)
the Score line's OC per 100 as (1 − w) × the straight line + w × the curve (never below 0); 0 is off
| scoreFloorW | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base (switch off) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.25 | 77.9% (+0.2) | 0.643 | 78.9% (+0.2) | 71.8% (+0.2) | 5 / 2 | 8.7 → 8.6 | 25 → 25 | Neurolictor 11→10 (S); Neurotyrant 39→38 (A); Winged Tyranid Prime 43→42 (B); Psychophage 44→43 (B) | Neurogaunts 42→44 (C); Hormagaunts 10→11 (A); Termagants 38→39 (B) |
| 0.5 | 77.8% (+0.1) | 0.640 | 79.4% (+0.6) | 71.8% (+0.2) | 6 / 6 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 24 | Neurolictor 11→10 (S); Trygon 12→11 (B); Hive Guard 28→27 (B); Neurotyrant 39→38 (A); Tyrant Guard 40→39 (B) | Hormagaunts 10→12 (A); Termagants 38→40 (B); Neurogaunts 42→44 (C); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→28 (C); Gargoyles 45→46 (A) |
| 1 | 77.5% (−0.2) | 0.635 | 79.4% (+0.6) | 72.0% (+0.4) | 8 / 10 | 8.7 → 8.8 | 25 → 24 | Harpy 46→44 (D); Neurolictor 11→10 (S); Trygon 12→11 (B); Haruspex 13→12 (B); Tyrannofex 14→13 (A) | Hormagaunts 10→14 (A); Neurogaunts 42→45 (C); Termagants 38→40 (B); Gargoyles 45→47 (A); Broodlord 25→26 (A) |
| 1.5 | 77.4% (−0.3) | 0.633 | 78.9% (+0.2) | 72.0% (+0.4) | 12 / 12 | 8.7 → 8.8 | 25 → 24 | Harpy 46→44 (D); Parasite of Mortrex 47→45 (C); Neurolictor 11→10 (S); Trygon 12→11 (B); Haruspex 13→12 (B) | Hormagaunts 10→15 (A); Neurogaunts 42→46 (C); Termagants 38→41 (B); Gargoyles 45→47 (A); Broodlord 25→26 (A) |
| 2 | 77.3% (−0.4) | 0.630 | 78.9% (+0.2) | 72.0% (+0.4) | 11 / 14 | 8.7 → 8.9 | 25 → 24 | Trygon 12→10 (B); Pyrovores 30→28 (B); Harpy 46→44 (D); Parasite of Mortrex 47→45 (C); Haruspex 13→12 (B) | Hormagaunts 10→15 (A); Neurogaunts 42→46 (C); Termagants 38→41 (B); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→29 (C); Gargoyles 45→47 (A) |
| 3 | 77.3% (−0.4) | 0.630 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 72.0% (+0.4) | 10 / 14 | 8.7 → 8.9 | 25 → 24 | Trygon 12→10 (B); Hive Guard 28→26 (B); Pyrovores 30→28 (B); Psychophage 44→42 (B); Harpy 46→44 (D) | Hormagaunts 10→15 (A); Neurogaunts 42→46 (C); Termagants 38→41 (B); Broodlord 25→27 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→29 (C) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 76.6% held out against the base's 76.4% (+0.3); picked 0.25 ×22, 0.5 ×2, 0 ×1.
killClassWeightW (killClassWeight, off in the base; base value 1)
the tough classes' weight CLASS_TOUGH_W (2) read as 1 + w × (2 − 1), still topped up past role scarcity's tilt R only (t = min(W, max(1, W ÷ R))); 0 is off. Where R is high (Tyranids) it acts only once 1 + w passes R
| killClassWeightW | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base (switch off) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.25 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.5 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 1 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 1.5 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 2 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 3 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.640 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 4 / 5 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 24 | Hive Crone 37→35 (D); Old One Eye 21→20 (B); Harridan 26→25 (C); Hive Guard 28→27 (B) | Carnifexes 20→21 (C); Broodlord 25→26 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→28 (C); Toxicrene 35→36 (D); Venomthropes 36→37 (C) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 76.1% held out against the base's 76.4% (−0.3); picked 0 ×22, 3 ×3.
secondaryVPW (secondaryVP, off in the base; base value 1)
the secondary line × w; the lines it replaces (Actions, own bodies in Presence) × (1 − min(w, 1)), so up to 1 it is Value_off + w(Value_on − Value_off) and 0 is off; past 1 the line alone grows
| secondaryVPW | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base (switch off) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.25 | 78.7% (+1.0) | 0.656 | 79.1% (+0.4) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 17 / 14 | 8.7 → 8.5 | 25 → 25 | Old One Eye 21→16 (B); Neurolictor 11→7 (S); Hive Guard 28→26 (B); Pyrovores 30→28 (B); Toxicrene 35→33 (D) | Harridan 26→30 (C); Hive Crone 37→40 (D); Carnifexes 20→22 (C); Hierophant 32→34 (C); Hive Tyrant 5→6 (A) |
| 0.5 | 79.0% (+1.4) | 0.663 | 80.0% (+1.3) | 71.4% (−0.2) | 21 / 19 | 8.7 → 8.3 | 25 → 24 | Neurolictor 11→5 (S); Old One Eye 21→15 (B); Pyrovores 30→25 (B); Neurogaunts 42→37 (C); The Red Terror 22→18 (A) | Hive Crone 37→44 (D); Harridan 26→32 (C); Hierophant 32→38 (C); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→10 (A); Hormagaunts 10→13 (A) |
| 1 | 78.1% (+0.5) | 0.643 | 77.6% (−1.1) | 72.3% (+0.6) | 20 / 25 | 8.7 → 8.5 | 25 → 25 | Neurogaunts 42→28 (C); Old One Eye 21→12 (B); Neurolictor 11→4 (S); The Red Terror 22→16 (A); Pyrovores 30→24 (B) | Harridan 26→42 (C); Hierophant 32→43 (C); Hive Crone 37→46 (D); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→14 (A); Broodlord 25→32 (A) |
| 1.5 | 75.3% (−2.4) | 0.594 | 74.8% (−3.9) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 18 / 29 | 8.7 → 9.5 | 25 → 21 | Neurogaunts 42→19 (C); Pyrovores 30→14 (B); Venomthropes 36→23 (C); Old One Eye 21→11 (B); Neurolictor 11→3 (S) | Harridan 26→43 (C); Hierophant 32→45 (C); Zoanthropes 15→27 (A); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→17 (A); Raveners 16→26 (A) |
| 2 | 71.9% (−5.8) | 0.525 | 73.5% (−5.2) | 71.8% (+0.2) | 20 / 29 | 8.7 → 10.6 | 25 → 20 | Neurogaunts 42→15 (C); Pyrovores 30→8 (B); Venomthropes 36→17 (C); Parasite of Mortrex 47→34 (C); Old One Eye 21→9 (B) | Harridan 26→44 (C); Zoanthropes 15→32 (A); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→22 (A); Broodlord 25→39 (A); Raveners 16→29 (A) |
| 3 | 66.3% (−11.4) | 0.412 | 66.2% (−12.5) | 71.0% (−0.6) | 18 / 30 | 8.7 → 12.5 | 25 → 18 | Neurogaunts 42→10 (C); Venomthropes 36→11 (C); Pyrovores 30→6 (B); Parasite of Mortrex 47→26 (C); Tyrant Guard 40→21 (B) | Hyperadapted Raveners 7→35 (A); Raveners 16→37 (A); Harridan 26→46 (C); Zoanthropes 15→32 (A); Broodlord 25→42 (A) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 77.1% held out against the base's 76.4% (+0.8); picked 0.5 ×18, 1 ×4, 0.25 ×3.
missionVPW (missionVP, off in the base; base value 1)
the mission line's weight: the line × w; the lines it replaces (Score, Hold, Actions, own bodies) × (1 − min(w, 1)), so up to 1 it is Value_off + w(Value_on − Value_off) and 0 is off; past 1 the line alone grows
| missionVPW | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base (switch off) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.25 | 78.5% (+0.8) | 0.653 | 77.4% (−1.3) | 71.8% (+0.2) | 21 / 21 | 8.7 → 8.4 | 25 → 23 | Neurogaunts 42→30 (C); Old One Eye 21→15 (B); Neurolictor 11→6 (S); Norn Emissary 31→27 (A); Genestealers 23→20 (A) | Hive Crone 37→42 (D); Exocrine 9→13 (A); Zoanthropes 15→19 (A); Screamer-killer 18→22 (B); Carnifexes 20→23 (C) |
| 0.5 | 77.8% (+0.1) | 0.641 | 76.6% (−2.1) | 72.3% (+0.6) | 20 / 24 | 8.7 → 8.8 | 25 → 22 | Neurogaunts 42→20 (C); Tervigon 41→29 (C); Old One Eye 21→10 (B); Tyrant Guard 40→33 (B); Neurolictor 11→5 (S) | Harridan 26→35 (C); Barbgaunts 29→38 (C); Zoanthropes 15→22 (A); Hierophant 32→39 (C); Hive Crone 37→44 (D) |
| 1 | 75.6% (−2.1) | 0.597 | 73.1% (−5.6) | 72.0% (+0.4) | 20 / 27 | 8.7 → 9.5 | 25 → 23 | Neurogaunts 42→8 (C); Tervigon 41→19 (C); Old One Eye 21→9 (B); Venomthropes 36→25 (C); Norn Emissary 31→22 (A) | Zoanthropes 15→33 (A); Screamer-killer 18→31 (B); Harridan 26→39 (C); Barbgaunts 29→41 (C); Hive Crone 37→46 (D) |
| 1.5 | 72.7% (−5.0) | 0.538 | 71.4% (−7.3) | 72.3% (+0.6) | 22 / 25 | 8.7 → 10.4 | 25 → 21 | Neurogaunts 42→6 (C); Tervigon 41→13 (C); Venomthropes 36→15 (C); Tyrant Guard 40→23 (B); Norn Emissary 31→17 (A) | Zoanthropes 15→33 (A); Harridan 26→44 (C); Exocrine 9→26 (A); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→21 (A); Screamer-killer 18→32 (B) |
| 2 | 70.7% (−7.0) | 0.497 | 70.3% (−8.4) | 72.3% (+0.6) | 21 / 29 | 8.7 → 11.1 | 25 → 21 | Neurogaunts 42→6 (C); Tervigon 41→10 (C); Venomthropes 36→13 (C); Tyrant Guard 40→17 (B); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→11 (C) | Zoanthropes 15→39 (A); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→26 (A); Exocrine 9→28 (A); Harridan 26→45 (C); Screamer-killer 18→34 (B) |
| 3 | 68.9% (−8.8) | 0.456 | 68.0% (−10.7) | 72.0% (+0.4) | 21 / 27 | 8.7 → 11.6 | 25 → 17 | Neurogaunts 42→4 (C); Tervigon 41→9 (C); Tyrant Guard 40→14 (B); Venomthropes 36→11 (C); Tyrannocyte 48→27 (D) | Zoanthropes 15→41 (A); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→31 (A); Exocrine 9→32 (A); Screamer-killer 18→39 (B); Harridan 26→47 (C) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 76.4% held out against the base's 76.4% (±0.0); picked 0.25 ×21, 0.5 ×4.
vpMissionW (vpLedger, off in the base; base value 1)
with the VP ledger on: the mission line's VP × w (0 drops it; the lines it replaced stay replaced)
| vpMissionW | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base (switch off) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 75.3% (−2.4) | 0.601 | 75.9% (−2.8) | – (–) | 22 / 26 | 8.7 → 9.7 | 25 → 18 | Ripper Swarms 50→31 (C); Old One Eye 21→9 (B); Tyrannofex 14→4 (A); Pyrovores 30→21 (B); Norn Emissary 31→22 (A) | Hormagaunts 10→24 (A); Termagants 38→47 (B); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→25 (A); Neurogaunts 42→50 (C); Broodlord 25→32 (A) |
| 0.25 | 76.3% (−1.4) | 0.614 | 76.3% (−2.4) | – (–) | 19 / 25 | 8.7 → 9.1 | 25 → 25 | Old One Eye 21→7 (B); Tervigon 41→27 (C); Ripper Swarms 50→38 (C); Norn Emissary 31→20 (A); Tyrannofex 14→5 (A) | Termagants 38→49 (B); Barbgaunts 29→39 (C); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→26 (A); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→14 (A); Hormagaunts 10→16 (A) |
| 0.5 | 76.5% (−1.2) | 0.612 | 75.5% (−3.2) | – (–) | 21 / 24 | 8.7 → 9.1 | 25 → 24 | Tervigon 41→20 (C); Neurogaunts 42→26 (C); Old One Eye 21→7 (B); Norn Emissary 31→18 (A); Ripper Swarms 50→40 (C) | Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→28 (A); Harridan 26→37 (C); Barbgaunts 29→39 (C); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→16 (A); Zoanthropes 15→24 (A) |
| 1 | 72.2% (−5.5) | 0.532 | 71.0% (−7.7) | – (–) | 20 / 29 | 8.7 → 10.6 | 25 → 24 | Neurogaunts 42→9 (C); Tervigon 41→11 (C); Pyrovores 30→12 (B); Norn Emissary 31→14 (A); Venomthropes 36→21 (C) | Zoanthropes 15→34 (A); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→25 (B); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→23 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→32 (A); Harridan 26→40 (C) |
| 1.5 | 70.3% (−7.4) | 0.488 | 69.3% (−9.5) | – (–) | 19 / 29 | 8.7 → 11.3 | 25 → 22 | Neurogaunts 42→6 (C); Tervigon 41→10 (C); Tyrant Guard 40→17 (B); Venomthropes 36→14 (C); Pyrovores 30→12 (B) | Zoanthropes 15→38 (A); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→30 (B); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→28 (A); Hive Tyrant 5→24 (A); Harridan 26→43 (C) |
| 2 | 68.9% (−8.8) | 0.458 | 67.7% (−11.0) | – (–) | 20 / 26 | 8.7 → 11.8 | 25 → 21 | Neurogaunts 42→4 (C); Tervigon 41→10 (C); Venomthropes 36→12 (C); Tyrant Guard 40→16 (B); Pyrovores 30→11 (B) | Winged Hive Tyrant 8→34 (B); Zoanthropes 15→40 (A); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→29 (A); The Swarmlord 4→25 (S); Hive Tyrant 5→26 (A) |
| 3 | 67.4% (−10.3) | 0.426 | 65.4% (−13.3) | – (–) | 23 / 25 | 8.7 → 12.2 | 25 → 19 | Neurogaunts 42→4 (C); Tervigon 41→10 (C); Tyrant Guard 40→14 (B); Venomthropes 36→12 (C); Tyrannocyte 48→24 (D) | Winged Hive Tyrant 8→38 (B); Zoanthropes 15→43 (A); Hive Tyrant 5→32 (A); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→34 (A); The Swarmlord 4→30 (S) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 75.4% held out against the base's 76.4% (−1.0); picked 0.5 ×17, 0.25 ×8.
vpPerUnit (vpLedger, off in the base; base value 1)
with the VP ledger on: the share of a unit's mission VP counted per unit (as built, a cheap screen's VP divided by its few points) rather than per point (its VP × its points ÷ the typical unit's, so per 100 points it earns as a typical unit scoring the same would): VP × (u + (1 − u) × pts ÷ unitPts). The screens-and-secondaries question
| vpPerUnit | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base (switch off) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 73.1% (−4.6) | 0.542 | 71.0% (−7.7) | – (–) | 21 / 26 | 8.7 → 10.4 | 25 → 23 | Tervigon 41→13 (C); Norn Emissary 31→7 (A); Hierophant 32→8 (C); Tyrant Guard 40→23 (B); Old One Eye 21→6 (B) | Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→34 (A); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→21 (B); Zoanthropes 15→28 (A); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→19 (A); Broodlord 25→36 (A) |
| 0.25 | 72.9% (−4.8) | 0.541 | 71.2% (−7.5) | – (–) | 18 / 28 | 8.7 → 10.6 | 25 → 22 | Tervigon 41→12 (C); Norn Emissary 31→8 (A); Hierophant 32→14 (C); Tyrant Guard 40→23 (B); Old One Eye 21→6 (B) | Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→35 (A); Zoanthropes 15→30 (A); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→22 (B); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→20 (A); Broodlord 25→36 (A) |
| 0.5 | 72.3% (−5.4) | 0.533 | 71.0% (−7.7) | – (–) | 18 / 29 | 8.7 → 10.5 | 25 → 22 | Tervigon 41→11 (C); Norn Emissary 31→9 (A); Neurogaunts 42→24 (C); Old One Eye 21→6 (B); Hierophant 32→17 (C) | Zoanthropes 15→33 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→34 (A); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→22 (B); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→20 (A); Screamer-killer 18→31 (B) |
| 0.75 | 72.6% (−5.1) | 0.538 | 71.6% (−7.1) | – (–) | 18 / 28 | 8.7 → 10.4 | 25 → 23 | Tervigon 41→11 (C); Neurogaunts 42→12 (C); Norn Emissary 31→10 (A); Tyrant Guard 40→25 (B); Old One Eye 21→7 (B) | Zoanthropes 15→34 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→35 (A); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→24 (B); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→22 (A); Screamer-killer 18→31 (B) |
| 1 | 72.2% (−5.5) | 0.532 | 71.0% (−7.7) | – (–) | 20 / 29 | 8.7 → 10.6 | 25 → 24 | Neurogaunts 42→9 (C); Tervigon 41→11 (C); Pyrovores 30→12 (B); Norn Emissary 31→14 (A); Venomthropes 36→21 (C) | Zoanthropes 15→34 (A); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→25 (B); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→23 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→32 (A); Harridan 26→40 (C) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 70.1% held out against the base's 76.4% (−6.3); picked 0 ×12, 0.75 ×6, 1 ×6, 0.25 ×1.
threatSoakW (threatSoak, on in the base; base value 1)
the exponent k (THREAT_SOAK_K, 1): Soak × min(2, threat)^k; 0 is Soak whole (off when the threat slider is 0, as on Track B)
| threatSoakW | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| off | 77.7% (+0.1) | 0.642 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 3 / 1 | 8.7 → 8.6 | 25 → 25 | Neurolictor 11→10 (S); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→26 (C) | Hormagaunts 10→11 (A); Harridan 26→27 (C) |
| 0 | 77.7% (+0.1) | 0.642 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 3 / 1 | 8.7 → 8.6 | 25 → 25 | Neurolictor 11→10 (S); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→26 (C) | Hormagaunts 10→11 (A); Harridan 26→27 (C) |
| 0.25 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 1 / 1 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→26 (C) | Harridan 26→27 (C) |
| 0.5 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 1 / 1 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→26 (C) | Harridan 26→27 (C) |
| 1 (base) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 1.5 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.8% (+0.2) | 1 / 1 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | Sporocyst 49→48 (D) | Tyrannocyte 48→49 (D) |
| 2 | 77.6% (±0.0) | 0.639 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.8% (+0.2) | 4 / 6 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 23 | Deathleaper 6→5 (B); Trygon 12→11 (B); Old One Eye 21→20 (B); Venomthropes 36→35 (C); Sporocyst 49→48 (D) | Hive Tyrant 5→6 (A); Neurolictor 11→12 (S); Carnifexes 20→21 (C); Toxicrene 35→36 (D); Tyrannocyte 48→49 (D) |
| 3 | 77.4% (−0.3) | 0.634 | 78.3% (−0.4) | 71.8% (+0.2) | 8 / 11 | 8.7 → 8.8 | 25 → 23 | Trygon 12→10 (B); Deathleaper 6→5 (B); Exocrine 9→8 (A); Haruspex 13→12 (B); Tyrannofex 14→13 (A) | Neurolictor 11→14 (S); Hive Tyrant 5→6 (A); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→9 (B); Hormagaunts 10→11 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→18 (A) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 76.6% held out against the base's 76.4% (+0.3); picked 0 ×23, 2 ×2.
shockPressureW (shockPressure, on in the base; base value 1)
each credited rule's worth W × w (its line and VP likewise); 0 is off
| shockPressureW | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| off | 75.2% (−2.4) | 0.587 | 75.7% (−3.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 17 / 20 | 8.7 → 9.4 | 25 → 22 | Tyrant Guard 40→38 (B); Trygon 12→11 (B); Haruspex 13→12 (B); Tyrannofex 14→13 (A); Zoanthropes 15→14 (A) | Neurolictor 11→39 (S); Neurotyrant 39→47 (A) |
| 0 | 75.2% (−2.4) | 0.587 | 75.7% (−3.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 17 / 20 | 8.7 → 9.4 | 25 → 22 | Tyrant Guard 40→38 (B); Trygon 12→11 (B); Haruspex 13→12 (B); Tyrannofex 14→13 (A); Zoanthropes 15→14 (A) | Neurolictor 11→39 (S); Neurotyrant 39→47 (A) |
| 0.25 | 75.9% (−1.8) | 0.605 | 76.6% (−2.2) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 14 / 15 | 8.7 → 9.2 | 25 → 24 | Trygon 12→11 (B); Haruspex 13→12 (B); Tyrannofex 14→13 (A); Zoanthropes 15→14 (A); Raveners 16→15 (A) | Neurolictor 11→32 (S); Neurotyrant 39→45 (A) |
| 0.5 | 76.7% (−1.0) | 0.622 | 77.4% (−1.3) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 6 / 10 | 8.7 → 9.0 | 25 → 24 | Trygon 12→11 (B); Haruspex 13→12 (B); Tyrannofex 14→13 (A); Zoanthropes 15→14 (A); Raveners 16→15 (A) | Neurolictor 11→24 (S); Neurotyrant 39→40 (A) |
| 1 (base) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 1.5 | 78.3% (+0.6) | 0.651 | 78.9% (+0.2) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 10 / 4 | 8.7 → 8.4 | 25 → 25 | Neurolictor 11→5 (S); Neurotyrant 39→33 (A) | Hive Tyrant 5→6 (A); Deathleaper 6→7 (B); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→8 (A); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→9 (B); Exocrine 9→10 (A) |
| 2 | 78.7% (+1.0) | 0.659 | 79.8% (+1.1) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 15 / 9 | 8.7 → 8.2 | 25 → 25 | Neurotyrant 39→25 (A); Neurolictor 11→2 (S) | Von Ryan's Leapers 2→3 (B); Lictor 3→4 (S); The Swarmlord 4→5 (S); Hive Tyrant 5→6 (A); Deathleaper 6→7 (B) |
| 3 | 78.9% (+1.2) | 0.662 | 79.6% (+0.9) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 19 / 13 | 8.7 → 8.0 | 25 → 26 | Neurotyrant 39→17 (A); Neurolictor 11→2 (S) | Von Ryan's Leapers 2→3 (B); Lictor 3→4 (S); The Swarmlord 4→5 (S); Hive Tyrant 5→6 (A); Deathleaper 6→7 (B) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 76.3% held out against the base's 76.4% (−0.1); picked 3 ×17, 2 ×6, 0 ×2.
supportMeasuredW (supportMeasured, on in the base; base value 1)
the measured credit (the friends' Kill and Soak, points a game) and its heals × w; the support kinds stay at × 1 while the switch is on, so 0 is support worth nothing, not off (off puts the multipliers back)
| supportMeasuredW | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| off | 78.1% (+0.4) | 0.651 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 76.8% (+5.2) | 20 / 23 | 8.7 → 9.0 | 25 → 23 | Norn Emissary 31→18 (A); Neurogaunts 42→30 (C); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→16 (C); Maleceptor 34→23 (A); Norn Assimilator 19→9 (A) | Exocrine 9→19 (A); Hormagaunts 10→20 (A); Tyrannofex 14→24 (A); Von Ryan's Leapers 2→11 (B); Trygon 12→21 (B) |
| 0 | 75.2% (−2.5) | 0.586 | 74.8% (−3.9) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 11 / 30 | 8.7 → 9.9 | 25 → 22 | Carnifexes 20→14 (C); Old One Eye 21→15 (B); Raveners 16→11 (A); Screamer-killer 18→13 (B); The Red Terror 22→17 (A) | Winged Hive Tyrant 8→24 (B); The Swarmlord 4→19 (S); Hive Tyrant 5→18 (A); Neurolictor 11→21 (S); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→22 (A) |
| 0.25 | 76.3% (−1.3) | 0.607 | 76.6% (−2.1) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 12 / 26 | 8.7 → 9.4 | 25 → 22 | Trygon 12→8 (B); Haruspex 13→9 (B); Tyrannofex 14→10 (A); Carnifexes 20→16 (C); Old One Eye 21→17 (B) | Winged Hive Tyrant 8→23 (B); The Swarmlord 4→11 (S); Hive Tyrant 5→12 (A); Neurolictor 11→18 (S); Broodlord 25→30 (A) |
| 0.5 | 77.3% (−0.4) | 0.628 | 77.6% (−1.1) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 10 / 20 | 8.7 → 9.1 | 25 → 22 | Deathleaper 6→4 (B); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→5 (A); Exocrine 9→7 (A); Hormagaunts 10→8 (A); Trygon 12→10 (B) | Winged Hive Tyrant 8→16 (B); Broodlord 25→30 (A); Hive Tyrant 5→9 (A); Neurolictor 11→15 (S); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→21 (A) |
| 1 (base) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 1.5 | 78.2% (+0.5) | 0.649 | 79.1% (+0.4) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 14 / 12 | 8.7 → 8.5 | 25 → 26 | Neurotyrant 39→35 (A); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→6 (B); Neurolictor 11→9 (S); Winged Tyranid Prime 43→41 (B); Parasite of Mortrex 47→45 (C) | Toxicrene 35→37 (D); Lictor 3→4 (S); Deathleaper 6→7 (B); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→8 (A); Exocrine 9→10 (A) |
| 2 | 78.1% (+0.4) | 0.648 | 79.1% (+0.4) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 14 / 17 | 8.7 → 8.6 | 25 → 24 | Neurotyrant 39→35 (A); Parasite of Mortrex 47→43 (C); Neurolictor 11→8 (S); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→14 (A); Winged Tyranid Prime 43→40 (B) | Lictor 3→5 (S); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→9 (A); Tyrannofex 14→16 (A); Toxicrene 35→37 (D); Neurogaunts 42→44 (C) |
| 3 | 78.7% (+1.0) | 0.661 | 80.0% (+1.3) | 71.4% (−0.2) | 21 / 21 | 8.7 → 8.5 | 25 → 23 | Winged Tyranid Prime 43→35 (B); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→11 (A); Neurotyrant 39→33 (A); Parasite of Mortrex 47→41 (C); Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 24→19 (B) | Von Ryan's Leapers 2→6 (B); Mawloc 33→36 (B); Toxicrene 35→38 (D); Tyrant Guard 40→43 (B); Neurogaunts 42→45 (C) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 77.3% held out against the base's 76.4% (+0.9); picked 3 ×23, 1.5 ×2.
preferC (preferredTargets, on in the base; base value 4)
the cap C (PREFER_C, 4): each class holds at most C × its share of the field × 100 points per 100; large C is no cap
| preferC | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| off | 79.0% (+1.3) | 0.656 | 79.4% (+0.6) | 70.7% (−0.9) | 22 / 19 | 8.7 → 8.6 | 25 → 23 | Genestealers 23→15 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→11 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 24→18 (B); Hive Crone 37→32 (D); Hormagaunts 10→6 (A) | Hierophant 32→39 (C); Tyrannofex 14→20 (A); Norn Assimilator 19→24 (A); Carnifexes 20→25 (C); Exocrine 9→13 (A) |
| 1 | 75.7% (−2.0) | 0.597 | 76.6% (−2.2) | 69.2% (−2.4) | 18 / 27 | 8.7 → 9.8 | 25 → 20 | Hierophant 32→19 (C); Old One Eye 21→9 (B); Harridan 26→14 (C); Hive Guard 28→16 (B); Psychophage 44→33 (B) | Barbgaunts 29→40 (C); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→17 (A); Venomthropes 36→46 (C); Tyrannofex 14→23 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→36 (C) |
| 2 | 76.7% (−0.9) | 0.620 | 77.0% (−1.7) | 70.1% (−1.5) | 17 / 25 | 8.7 → 9.5 | 25 → 21 | Hive Guard 28→22 (B); Hierophant 32→26 (C); Hive Crone 37→31 (D); Norn Assimilator 19→14 (A); Old One Eye 21→16 (B) | Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→24 (A); Venomthropes 36→43 (C); Exocrine 9→15 (A); Tyrannofex 14→20 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→32 (C) |
| 3 | 78.2% (+0.5) | 0.649 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 72.3% (+0.6) | 19 / 18 | 8.7 → 8.8 | 25 → 23 | Norn Assimilator 19→15 (A); Old One Eye 21→17 (B); Norn Emissary 31→28 (A); Haruspex 13→11 (B); Zoanthropes 15→13 (A) | Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→21 (A); Venomthropes 36→40 (C); Exocrine 9→12 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 24→27 (B); Barbgaunts 29→32 (C) |
| 4 (base) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 6 | 77.8% (+0.1) | 0.638 | 78.5% (−0.2) | 71.4% (−0.2) | 16 / 15 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | Genestealers 23→18 (A); Trygon 12→8 (B); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→13 (A); Barbgaunts 29→25 (C); Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 24→21 (B) | Norn Assimilator 19→22 (A); Carnifexes 20→23 (C); Old One Eye 21→24 (B); Toxicrene 35→38 (D); Hive Tyrant 5→7 (A) |
| 8 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.637 | 78.9% (+0.2) | 72.0% (+0.4) | 17 / 17 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 23 | Genestealers 23→18 (A); Termagants 38→33 (B); Trygon 12→8 (B); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→13 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 24→20 (B) | Norn Assimilator 19→22 (A); Carnifexes 20→23 (C); Old One Eye 21→24 (B); Toxicrene 35→38 (D); Hive Tyrant 5→7 (A) |
| 16 | 77.9% (+0.2) | 0.638 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.4% (−0.2) | 18 / 21 | 8.7 → 8.8 | 25 → 22 | Termagants 38→32 (B); Genestealers 23→18 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→13 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 24→20 (B); Barbgaunts 29→25 (C) | Tyrannofex 14→17 (A); Norn Assimilator 19→22 (A); Carnifexes 20→23 (C); Old One Eye 21→24 (B); Broodlord 25→28 (A) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 73.5% held out against the base's 76.4% (−2.8); picked 6 ×7, 16 ×5, 3 ×4, 8 ×4, 1 ×3, 4 ×2.
preferN (preferredTargets, on in the base; base value 4)
the activations a game N (PREFER_N, 4) the fire is spent over
| preferN | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| off | 79.0% (+1.3) | 0.656 | 79.4% (+0.6) | 70.7% (−0.9) | 22 / 19 | 8.7 → 8.6 | 25 → 23 | Genestealers 23→15 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→11 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 24→18 (B); Hive Crone 37→32 (D); Hormagaunts 10→6 (A) | Hierophant 32→39 (C); Tyrannofex 14→20 (A); Norn Assimilator 19→24 (A); Carnifexes 20→25 (C); Exocrine 9→13 (A) |
| 1 | 77.9% (+0.2) | 0.638 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.4% (−0.2) | 18 / 21 | 8.7 → 8.8 | 25 → 22 | Termagants 38→32 (B); Genestealers 23→18 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→13 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 24→20 (B); Barbgaunts 29→25 (C) | Tyrannofex 14→17 (A); Norn Assimilator 19→22 (A); Carnifexes 20→23 (C); Old One Eye 21→24 (B); Broodlord 25→28 (A) |
| 2 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.637 | 78.9% (+0.2) | 72.0% (+0.4) | 17 / 17 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 23 | Genestealers 23→18 (A); Termagants 38→33 (B); Trygon 12→8 (B); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→13 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 24→20 (B) | Norn Assimilator 19→22 (A); Carnifexes 20→23 (C); Old One Eye 21→24 (B); Toxicrene 35→38 (D); Hive Tyrant 5→7 (A) |
| 3 | 77.5% (−0.2) | 0.635 | 78.3% (−0.4) | 72.0% (+0.4) | 12 / 12 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | Trygon 12→8 (B); Genestealers 23→19 (A); Barbgaunts 29→25 (C); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→14 (A); The Red Terror 22→20 (A) | Toxicrene 35→38 (D); Tyrannofex 14→16 (A); Zoanthropes 15→17 (A); Norn Assimilator 19→21 (A); Carnifexes 20→22 (C) |
| 4 (base) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 5 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.3% (−0.4) | 72.3% (+0.6) | 15 / 18 | 8.7 → 8.9 | 25 → 24 | Norn Assimilator 19→16 (A); Old One Eye 21→18 (B); Haruspex 13→11 (B); Zoanthropes 15→13 (A); Harridan 26→24 (C) | Exocrine 9→12 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→20 (A); Venomthropes 36→39 (C); Trygon 12→14 (B); Barbgaunts 29→31 (C) |
| 6 | 77.8% (+0.1) | 0.642 | 78.5% (−0.2) | 72.0% (+0.4) | 16 / 20 | 8.7 → 9.0 | 25 → 23 | Norn Assimilator 19→15 (A); Old One Eye 21→17 (B); Haruspex 13→10 (B); Zoanthropes 15→12 (A); Harridan 26→23 (C) | Exocrine 9→13 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→21 (A); Venomthropes 36→40 (C); Raveners 16→19 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 24→27 (B) |
| 8 | 76.7% (−0.9) | 0.620 | 77.0% (−1.7) | 70.1% (−1.5) | 17 / 25 | 8.7 → 9.5 | 25 → 21 | Hive Guard 28→22 (B); Hierophant 32→26 (C); Hive Crone 37→31 (D); Norn Assimilator 19→14 (A); Old One Eye 21→16 (B) | Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→24 (A); Venomthropes 36→43 (C); Exocrine 9→15 (A); Tyrannofex 14→20 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→32 (C) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 75.1% held out against the base's 76.4% (−1.3); picked 1 ×18, 2 ×2, 4 ×2, 3 ×1, 5 ×1, 8 ×1.
attachRate (attachChars, on in the base; base value 0.8)
the share of the field's leading characters attached (0.8 measured): attachChars' Burst read linearly between the plain Burst (0) and the attached one (0.8); with preferredTargets, the field's character points split between alone and joined in that proportion (the class Bursts stay as measured at 0.8)
| attachRate | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| off | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.2 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.4 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.6 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.8 (base) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 1 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 1 / 1 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | Sporocyst 49→48 (D) | Tyrannocyte 48→49 (D) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 76.4% held out against the base's 76.4% (±0.0); picked 0 ×25.
lifeSurvive (lifeKill, off in the base; base value 1)
lifeKill's survival strength s: Kill × (L ÷ the median L)^s (on preferred targets' Kill, Track B's auto mode); 0 is the Kill below it unchanged
| lifeSurvive | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base (switch off) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0.25 | 77.3% (−0.4) | 0.631 | 78.5% (−0.2) | 71.4% (−0.2) | 1 / 10 | 8.7 → 9.0 | 25 → 23 | Norn Assimilator 19→17 (A); Hive Guard 28→26 (B); Winged Hive Tyrant 8→7 (B); Carnifexes 20→19 (C); Old One Eye 21→20 (B) | Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→21 (A); Broodlord 25→28 (A); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→8 (A); Venomthropes 36→37 (C) |
| 0.5 | 76.7% (−1.0) | 0.621 | 77.0% (−1.7) | 70.5% (−1.1) | 5 / 17 | 8.7 → 9.3 | 25 → 23 | Norn Assimilator 19→16 (A); Carnifexes 20→17 (C); Old One Eye 21→19 (B); Hive Guard 28→26 (B); Pyrovores 30→28 (B) | Broodlord 25→30 (A); Raveners 16→20 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→21 (A); Hyperadapted Raveners 7→10 (A); Neurolictor 11→13 (S) |
| 0.75 | 76.5% (−1.2) | 0.617 | 77.0% (−1.7) | 71.0% (−0.6) | 11 / 19 | 8.7 → 9.3 | 25 → 23 | Carnifexes 20→16 (C); Old One Eye 21→18 (B); Exocrine 9→7 (A); Trygon 12→10 (B); Haruspex 13→11 (B) | Hyperadapted Raveners 7→14 (A); Broodlord 25→32 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→22 (A); Raveners 16→20 (A); Lictor 3→4 (S) |
| 1 | 76.5% (−1.2) | 0.619 | 76.3% (−2.4) | 70.5% (−1.1) | 14 / 23 | 8.7 → 9.3 | 25 → 23 | Carnifexes 20→16 (C); Old One Eye 21→18 (B); Hive Guard 28→25 (B); Pyrovores 30→27 (B); Exocrine 9→7 (A) | Hyperadapted Raveners 7→15 (A); Broodlord 25→32 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→22 (A); Raveners 16→20 (A); Neurolictor 11→13 (S) |
| 1.5 | 76.1% (−1.5) | 0.610 | 75.7% (−3.0) | 68.4% (−3.2) | 14 / 21 | 8.7 → 9.5 | 25 → 23 | Tyrannofex 14→9 (A); Carnifexes 20→15 (C); Hive Guard 28→23 (B); Hierophant 32→27 (C); Old One Eye 21→17 (B) | Hyperadapted Raveners 7→18 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→25 (A); Broodlord 25→33 (A); Raveners 16→21 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→30 (C) |
| 2 | 75.5% (−2.2) | 0.595 | 75.1% (−3.7) | 67.7% (−3.9) | 14 / 24 | 8.7 → 9.8 | 25 → 19 | Hierophant 32→24 (C); Tyrannofex 14→8 (A); Harridan 26→20 (C); Hive Guard 28→22 (B); Norn Emissary 31→25 (A) | Hyperadapted Raveners 7→19 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→29 (A); Broodlord 25→34 (A); Raveners 16→23 (A); The Red Terror 22→28 (A) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 76.4% held out against the base's 76.4% (±0.0); picked 0 ×24, 1.5 ×1.
lifeBlend (lifeKill, off in the base; base value 0.5)
lifeKill's per-activation blend w: K = w × Burst + (1 − w) × the field's average, where lifeKill supplies the Kill (lifeMode 1)
| lifeBlend | Lists pairwise (Δ) | ρ | Held out (a) (Δ) | Held out (a1) (Δ) | Closer / farther | Gap | In tier | Up most | Down most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| base (switch off) | 77.7% (±0.0) | 0.641 | 78.7% (±0.0) | 71.6% (±0.0) | 0 / 0 | 8.7 → 8.7 | 25 → 25 | – | – |
| 0 | 74.1% (−3.6) | 0.576 | 73.3% (−5.4) | 66.9% (−4.7) | 13 / 24 | 8.7 → 10.4 | 25 → 22 | Norn Assimilator 19→9 (A); Hive Guard 28→18 (B); Haruspex 13→4 (B); Zoanthropes 15→6 (A); Old One Eye 21→12 (B) | Deathleaper 6→25 (B); Lictor 3→17 (S); Tyrannofex 14→23 (A); Broodlord 25→33 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→24 (A) |
| 0.25 | 75.5% (−2.1) | 0.603 | 76.6% (−2.2) | 67.3% (−4.3) | 12 / 26 | 8.7 → 10.0 | 25 → 19 | Hive Guard 28→19 (B); Haruspex 13→5 (B); Zoanthropes 15→8 (A); Old One Eye 21→14 (B); Trygon 12→6 (B) | Deathleaper 6→17 (B); Tyrannofex 14→20 (A); Raveners 16→22 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→23 (A); Broodlord 25→31 (A) |
| 0.5 | 76.4% (−1.2) | 0.619 | 76.3% (−2.4) | 68.8% (−2.8) | 11 / 25 | 8.7 → 9.7 | 25 → 21 | Hive Guard 28→20 (B); Old One Eye 21→15 (B); Haruspex 13→8 (B); Zoanthropes 15→11 (A); Hormagaunts 10→7 (A) | Hyperadapted Raveners 7→14 (A); Raveners 16→23 (A); Deathleaper 6→12 (B); Tyrannofex 14→18 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→21 (A) |
| 0.75 | 77.4% (−0.3) | 0.634 | 77.0% (−1.7) | 68.6% (−3.0) | 14 / 21 | 8.7 → 9.3 | 25 → 21 | Hive Guard 28→19 (B); Hormagaunts 10→5 (A); Old One Eye 21→16 (B); Hive Crone 37→34 (D); Psychophage 44→41 (B) | Hyperadapted Raveners 7→15 (A); Raveners 16→23 (A); Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 17→21 (A); Harridan 26→30 (C); The Red Terror 22→25 (A) |
| 1 | 77.2% (−0.5) | 0.632 | 76.8% (−1.9) | 69.0% (−2.6) | 13 / 21 | 8.7 → 9.4 | 25 → 22 | Hive Guard 28→19 (B); Old One Eye 21→15 (B); Hormagaunts 10→5 (A); Hive Crone 37→34 (D); Psychophage 44→41 (B) | Hyperadapted Raveners 7→16 (A); Raveners 16→23 (A); Harridan 26→30 (C); The Red Terror 22→25 (A); Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 27→29 (C) |
Strength chosen in the folds (nested, 52 graded units): 74.1% held out against the base's 76.4% (−2.2); picked 0.75 ×16, 1 ×8, 0.25 ×1.
How to repeat
- Everything above but the stack:
node tools/knobsweep.js --base tools/ledger-benchmarks/2026-10-05-trackB.json --all --heldout quick --write <file.md> --json <file.json>(about 6 minutes). - One dial:
node tools/knobsweep.js --base tools/ledger-benchmarks/2026-10-05-trackB.json --dial arrivalKillW [--grid 0,1,1.5,2] [--heldout full]; the attach-rate variant:--dial attachRate --on preferredTargets=0. - The stack's rows: ledgerstep or knobsweep with
--on arrivalKill,arrivalKillW=1.5,secondaryVP,secondaryVPW=0.5,supportMeasuredW=3,shockPressureW=2. The stack's nested choice (72 settings: arrival 0/1/1.5/2 × secondary 0/0.25/0.5 × support 1/2/3 × shock 1/2, the best on each training fold by pairwise against the consensus, knobsweep.jsnested) was a scratch script over those settings' Values; the numbers are in the short answer. - Code at the T-661 commit on 31346d50ad (lifeKill's dials in); the ledger's frozen inputs as locked (eb3590a2aa, 26 inputs match); held out reads build/units.json frozen.