Job profiles, rivals by dominance, archetypes from the numbers (T-716, 5 Oct)

Discovery only; nothing adopted. tools/jobprofile.js: the profiles and archetypes (build/jobprofiles.json, build/archetypes.json), a post step through tools/exam.js's hook (T-685) for the dial, and the checks. Snapshot 8dcd24032d (inputs hash dcd477d8a78c, after T-715's leader fixes), Track A (step 34b, wCarry 0). No change to ledger.js, exam.js or the ledger data. List co-occurrence from grimstat-corpus (https://github.com/N041M/grimstat-corpus, CC BY 4.0), the lists their players and organisers published on MiniHeadQuarters; counts only, 11th-edition lists from 20 June 2026.

In plain English

What we built. Every one of the 733 units in our 16 armies now has a job profile: 20 numbers, one per job from design/jobs.md (Burst, the four kinds of target, durability, hard to target, OC, holding, cheap activations, action-doing, forward deployment, reserves, melee delivery, threat range, transport, leading a squad, the army-rule engine, Battle-shock, command points). Each is per point where it's an amount, and each is measured against the unit's own army, so 0 means "the army's typical unit" and +1 means one army spread better. A unit is "good at" a job when it is at least half a spread above its army's typical unit; the average unit is good at five of the twenty.

The archetypes. Asking the numbers for the pure types that every unit is a mix of, seven come out (the elbow of the fit, 63% of the spread explained; four explain 50%, ten 69%). In plain words:

1. Cheap support piece: cheap, leads or helps a squad, free to do actions, often arrives from reserve (Mucolid Spores, Apothecary Biologis, Tallyman, Sanguinary Priest, Kharseth).
2. Infiltrating skirmisher: hard to target, deploys forward or arrives anywhere, hunts characters (Boss Snikrot, the Deathleaper, the Lictor, the Callidus Assassin, Eliminators, Sekhetar Robots).
3. Transport: carries a squad cheaply, reaches far, a cheap body (every Rhino, the Raider).
4. Line troops: OC per point that stays on the objective, clears chaff (Assault Intercessors, Hormagaunts, Cadian Shock Troops, Plaguebearers, Beast Snagga Boyz, Tzaangors).
5. Long-range heavy: long threat range, anti-tank, tough (the Voidraven, Defilers, the Baal Predator, the Hive Crone, the Hekaton, the Forgefiend).
6. Squad leader and character hunter: what its squad becomes with it, plus Precision and cheapness (Master of Executions, the Judiciar, Lelith, the Tyranid Prime, the Bigboss).
7. Deep-striking hammer: arrives from reserve and lands its charge on tanks and elites (Lion El'Jonson, Grey Knight Terminators, the Trygon, Assault Terminators, the Hive Tyrant, Magnus, the Maulerfiend and the Mutalith).

These are the role labels the card asked for, found without hand labels; each unit is a mix (the Leapers are 0.65 skirmisher and 0.35 line troops; the Tyranid Warriors are line troops with some hammer).

Rivals by dominance. A unit is dominated when another unit of its army is at least as good on every job it is good at, and better on one. By that strict rule 198 of 733 units are dominated (67 strongly), mostly where a unit is good at only one or two things: spore and artillery pieces that only reach far, characters whose only distinction is being cheap, and Rhino-like hulls. It finds none of Jordan's 13 pairs. The reason is clear in the table below: in every case the unit he says loses its slot is a little better than its rival on at least one of its good jobs (the Winged Hive Tyrant lands its charge 0.8 against the Hive Tyrant's 0.7; the Maulerfiend kills far more per point than the Mutalith). With half a spread of tolerance and only the top two or three good jobs counting, it finds 4 or 5 of the 13 (chance would find under one), but the rules were loosened after seeing this, so that count is in sample.

The archetypes find Jordan's rivals better than dominance does. 9 of his 13 pairs share their largest archetype (chance 2.3): both Hive Tyrants, both kinds of Warriors, the Leapers and the Lictor, the Carnifexes, the Toxicrene and the Haruspex, the Iron-master and the Kâhl, the Maulerfiend and the Mutalith, Spawn and Tzaangors, both kinds of Enlightened. The rival is in the same role but not better per point on our measures: whatever makes the reviewers prefer the Mutalith, the Kâhl or the Hive Tyrant is not yet in the 20 jobs (rituals and bonuses a unit can receive, T-717; what a character lends, T-715).

Players' lists agree a little. Pairs where one unit dominates the other (both taken in at least a fifth of their army's lists) share a list a little less often than the army's other popular pairs: mean lift −0.13 against −0.05 (random same-army pairs as many per army sit at or below that 6% of the time; the looser rules 2% and under 1%). Together they appear 210 times where independence expects 221: substitutes, weakly.

The dial. Cutting a dominated unit's Value (domRival) doesn't hold out: held out by army it costs 1.3 points (±1.1) at the strict rule, and the mean-shortfall and looser variants sit between −0.3 and 0.0, level with their placebos. Track A already ranks the dominator above the dominated in 62% of the strict pairs (reviewers do in 56%), so there is little left for the dial to fix. Thousand Sons gain (+2.6 at 0.5, placebo 0.0; Heldrake 11th → 24th); Votann lose (−2.9, the Arkanyst Evaluator 7th → 17th is a reviewers' B). Nothing adopted.

What next. Use the archetypes, not dominance, to find rivals (same main archetype, as T-682 tried with its likeness, but with roles measured from jobs), and look for the missing jobs in what the rival does that the measured jobs miss (T-717's bonuses, rituals, what a character lends).

Choices made alone

• The 20 jobs: jobs.md's "built today" jobs less slot competition (what this replaces) and list dependence (a fact about lists), plus the army-rule engine (enabler flag plus measured friends' Kill) and the action-doer, both already in readable.js v2. Left out: screening (close to cheap activations), mitigation (soakfx only for two armies), VP denial (what a unit gives away, not a job). Transport is per 100 points here (models ÷ points); forward deployment, reserves, hard to target, melee delivery and threat range are ways of doing a job, kept as they are.
• Good jobs at +0.5 SD, not the top third: a top third can't be cut on a flag that 40% of an army carries, and the zero-heavy jobs (Battle-shock, CP, leading a squad) have no top third. A unit good at nothing takes its best job.
• Strength: the worst shortfall, in army SDs, ÷ 2, capped at 1; Value′ = Value × (1 − min(0.9, w × strength)).
• Variants: a unit's own variant is the same name less a bracketed suffix (only Chaos Spawn (Flesh Change) in the 16 armies); the spear and greatbow Enlightened are separate datasheets, so they may be rivals.
• Archetypes: z clipped at ±3 (a rare flag's z reaches 5 and would make a corner of its own); four starts per k.

The tables (tools/jobprofile.js --report)

The archetypes

Archetypal analysis on 733 units of 16 armies, 20 jobs (z within army, clipped ±3). Explained variance by k: 4: 49.6%, 5: 55.2%, 6: 59.8%, 7: 63.1%, 8: 65.3%, 9: 67.7%, 10: 69.3%. The chord's elbow is k = 7; k = 7 kept.

Other k, for reading (each archetype's top three jobs):

• k 4: (1) bodies 1.4, transport 1.0, actor 0.8; (2) oc 2.6, hold 2.5, antiHorde 1.4; (3) reach 1.4, antiTank 1.3, tough 1.0; (4) lands 1.4, unlock 1.0, antiChar 1.0
• k 5: (1) bodies 1.5, unlock 1.4, actor 0.9; (2) oc 2.8, hold 2.8, antiHorde 1.0; (3) elusive 3.0, forward 2.8, reserves 2.6; (4) reach 2.1, transport 1.1, tough 1.1; (5) antiChar 1.4, lands 1.2, antiTank 1.2
• k 6: (1) oc 2.9, hold 2.8, antiHorde 0.9; (2) unlock 2.3, bodies 1.6, actor 1.0; (3) antiTank 1.5, antiElite 1.3, lands 1.2; (4) reach 2.4, tough 0.8, transport 0.6; (5) transport 2.6, actor 1.1, bodies 0.9; (6) elusive 3.0, forward 2.9, reserves 2.3
• k 7: (1) bodies 1.0, unlock 1.0, actor 0.8; (2) elusive 2.9, forward 2.9, reserves 1.4; (3) transport 3.0, reach 2.3, bodies 1.2; (4) oc 2.7, hold 2.7, antiHorde 1.2; (5) reach 1.9, antiTank 1.0, tough 0.8; (6) unlock 2.4, antiChar 2.1, bodies 1.5; (7) reserves 1.6, antiTank 1.4, lands 1.0
• k 8: (1) reserves 2.2, actor 0.6, tough 0.3; (2) elusive 2.9, forward 2.7, antiChar 1.4; (3) transport 3.0, reach 2.3, bodies 1.2; (4) reserves 3.0, engine 2.1, antiHorde 0.6; (5) antiTank 1.6, burst 1.5, antiChar 1.4; (6) unlock 2.4, bodies 1.6, actor 1.1; (7) reach 2.0, antiTank 0.9, tough 0.7; (8) oc 2.9, hold 2.9, antiHorde 0.9
• k 9: (1) unlock 1.8, bodies 1.7, actor 1.0; (2) elusive 2.9, forward 2.8, antiChar 1.4; (3) unlock 2.5, antiChar 1.9, bodies 1.4; (4) antiTank 1.5, burst 1.4, lands 1.4; (5) reach 1.9, antiTank 1.0, tough 0.8; (6) transport 3.0, reach 2.2, bodies 1.1; (7) reserves 3.0, engine 2.1, cp 0.7; (8) reserves 3.0, tough 0.8, actor 0.5; (9) oc 2.9, hold 2.9, antiHorde 0.9
• k 10: (1) transport 3.0, reach 2.3, bodies 1.2; (2) elusive 3.0, forward 2.7, antiChar 1.8; (3) transport 1.4, tough 1.4, reach 1.3; (4) unlock 1.8, bodies 1.7, actor 0.9; (5) hold 2.2, oc 2.2, burst 1.5; (6) reserves 3.0, tough 0.8, actor 0.5; (7) hold 2.9, oc 2.9, cp 2.6; (8) reserves 3.0, engine 2.1, antiHorde 0.5; (9) reach 2.9, tough 0.4, antiTank 0.3; (10) unlock 2.6, antiChar 1.8, actor 1.2

Each unit as a mix, three armies (by its largest archetype; the unit's share of it, and its second where 0.25 or more):

• Tyranids: (1) Mucolid Spores 1.00, Spore Mines 1.00, Ripper Swarms 0.70; (2) Deathleaper 0.93, Lictor 0.89, Neurolictor 0.84, Von Ryan's Leapers 0.65 + (4) 0.35, Parasite of Mortrex 0.44; (3) Biovores 0.47 + (6) 0.26, Tyrannocyte 0.41 + (7) 0.40; (4) Hormagaunts 0.93, Termagants 0.74 + (3) 0.26, Neurogaunts 0.69, Gargoyles 0.65 + (3) 0.27, Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons 0.59 + (7) 0.27, Barbgaunts 0.58, Genestealers 0.57, Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons 0.47 + (7) 0.36, Venomthropes 0.42 + (2) 0.38, Pyrovores 0.38 + (5) 0.31; (5) Hive Crone 0.88, Harridan 0.84, Harpy 0.83, Hierophant 0.80, Tyrannofex 0.56 + (7) 0.26, Exocrine 0.52, Hive Guard 0.42, Sporocyst 0.40 + (1) 0.37, Maleceptor 0.37 + (7) 0.36; (6) Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 0.69, Winged Tyranid Prime 0.67, Broodlord 0.52 + (2) 0.27, Old One Eye 0.47 + (5) 0.26, Neurotyrant 0.40 + (5) 0.30; (7) Hive Tyrant 0.79, Hyperadapted Raveners 0.76, Norn Emissary 0.70, Norn Assimilator 0.67, Screamer-killer 0.64, The Swarmlord 0.63, Trygon 0.63, Winged Hive Tyrant 0.57, Tyrant Guard 0.57, Raveners 0.56, Mawloc 0.56, The Red Terror 0.55 + (6) 0.27, Toxicrene 0.55, Psychophage 0.54, Haruspex 0.36, Tervigon 0.32, Zoanthropes 0.28 + (5) 0.27, Carnifexes 0.26
• Leagues of Votann: (1) Memnyr Strategist 0.77, Kâhl 0.41 + (6) 0.34, Brôkhyr Iron-master 0.29 + (4) 0.29; (2) Buri Aegnirssen 0.34 + (7) 0.31; (3) Kapricus Carrier 0.49 + (2) 0.29; (4) Hearthkyn Warriors 0.82, Hernkyn Yaegirs 0.67, Hernkyn Pioneers 0.38 + (5) 0.34; (5) Hekaton Land Fortress 0.87, Ironkin Steeljacks with Heavy Volkanite Disintegrators 0.63 + (4) 0.32, Kapricus Defenders 0.37, Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 0.36 + (6) 0.31, Sagitaur 0.35 + (3) 0.26, Cthonian Earthshakers 0.32 + (4) 0.25; (6) Arkanyst Evaluator 0.41 + (5) 0.27, Grimnyr 0.39 + (4) 0.30; (7) Einhyr Champion 0.64, Berehk Stornbröw 0.55 + (6) 0.44, Ironkin Steeljacks with Melee Weapons 0.54 + (4) 0.34, Cthonian Beserks 0.54 + (4) 0.26, Ûthar the Destined 0.46 + (1) 0.25, Einhyr Hearthguard 0.40
• Thousand Sons: (1) Tzaangor Shaman 0.75, Sorcerer in Terminator Armour 0.65, Chaos Spawn (Flesh Change) 0.48 + (2) 0.40; (2) Sekhetar Robots 0.60 + (5) 0.31, Blue Horrors 0.43 + (1) 0.33; (3) Chaos Rhino 0.76; (4) Tzaangor Enlightened 0.77, Tzaangors 0.75, Rubric Marines 0.68 + (5) 0.32, Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster greatbows 0.64 + (6) 0.26, Pink Horrors 0.61, Flamers 0.49 + (7) 0.31, Chaos Spawn 0.33 + (7) 0.27; (5) Defiler 0.82, Forgefiend 0.67, Chaos Vindicator 0.61, Kairos Fateweaver 0.58, Lord of Change 0.55 + (7) 0.40, Chaos Land Raider 0.55, Chaos Predator Destructor 0.49, Chaos Predator Annihilator 0.49, Heldrake 0.45; (6) Infernal Master 0.48 + (1) 0.32, Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch 0.48 + (1) 0.26, Exalted Sorcerer 0.44 + (1) 0.36, Sorcerer 0.41 + (1) 0.39, Ahriman 0.40 + (7) 0.33; (7) Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with wings 0.81, Magnus the Red 0.71, Screamers 0.64 + (4) 0.27, Maulerfiend 0.62, Daemon Prince of Tzeentch 0.61, Mutalith Vortex Beast 0.52, Helbrute 0.48, Scarab Occult Terminators 0.46

Dominance pairs by army

Dominated units: 198 of 733 (strength ≥ 0.5: 67); good jobs per unit 5.0 on average.

Tyranids, every dominated unit (letters per 11e list; its good jobs; dominators, strongest first):

• Sporocyst [DDC], good at reach: ← Harridan 0.95, Hierophant 0.92, Tyrannofex 0.87, Biovores 0.79 (+8)
• Spore Mines [DDD], good at bodies, actor, reserves: ← Mucolid Spores 0.74, Ripper Swarms 0.74
• Hive Guard [ABA], good at tough, antiTank, reach, reserves: ← Tyrannofex 0.65
• Harpy [DDD], good at reach: ← Harridan 0.55, Hierophant 0.51, Tyrannofex 0.46, Biovores 0.39 (+1)
• Winged Hive Tyrant [ABB], good at engine, lands, antiTank, reserves: ← Hyperadapted Raveners 0.37
• Psychophage [BBA], good at lands, tough, reserves: ← Norn Emissary 0.29
• Mawloc [BBC], good at antiHorde, lands, reserves, antiElite: ← Von Ryan's Leapers 0.24, Hyperadapted Raveners 0.15
• Hive Tyrant [SAS], good at engine, antiTank, antiElite, lands, reserves: ← Hyperadapted Raveners 0.23
• Deathleaper [ASA], good at cp, forward, elusive, antiChar, lands, reserves, actor: ← Lictor 0.18
• Tyrant Guard [BBA], good at tough, reserves: ← Tyrannofex 0.18
• Ripper Swarms [BCB], good at bodies, actor, reserves: ← Mucolid Spores 0.17
• Undominated (41): Lictor (9), The Swarmlord (6), Biovores (3), Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip (9), Zoanthropes (4), Hyperadapted Raveners (8), Broodlord (8), Von Ryan's Leapers (11), Neurolictor (8), Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons (9), Norn Assimilator (6), Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons (8), Hormagaunts (7), Maleceptor (4), Exocrine (5), Tervigon (3), Norn Emissary (4), Trygon (6), Haruspex (7), Winged Tyranid Prime (6), Old One Eye (4), Screamer-killer (6), Tyrannofex (4), Raveners (7), Genestealers (9), Neurotyrant (3), The Red Terror (7), Carnifexes (3), Neurogaunts (4), Pyrovores (5), Barbgaunts (7), Parasite of Mortrex (6), Termagants (3), Venomthropes (8), Hive Crone (3), Toxicrene (5), Harridan (4), Hierophant (5), Gargoyles (4), Tyrannocyte (4), Mucolid Spores (3)

Leagues of Votann, every dominated unit (letters per 11e list; its good jobs; dominators, strongest first):

• Arkanyst Evaluator [B], good at bodies: ← Memnyr Strategist 0.92, Einhyr Champion 0.14, Grimnyr 0.14, Kâhl 0.14
• Cthonian Earthshakers [C], good at reach: ← Sagitaur 0.59, Hekaton Land Fortress 0.55, Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 0.42, Hernkyn Pioneers 0.28 (+7)
• Ûthar the Destined [B], good at lands, actor: ← Hernkyn Yaegirs 0.55, Berehk Stornbröw 0.18, Einhyr Champion 0.09, Kâhl 0.09 (+2)
• Brôkhyr Thunderkyn [A], good at reach, antiTank: ← Hekaton Land Fortress 0.42
• Einhyr Hearthguard [A], good at reserves, antiHorde: ← Hernkyn Pioneers 0.23
• Undominated (17): Buri Aegnirssen (8), Hernkyn Pioneers (11), Cthonian Beserks (7), Berehk Stornbröw (8), Hearthkyn Warriors (4), Einhyr Champion (6), Ironkin Steeljacks with Melee Weapons (7), Hekaton Land Fortress (6), Brôkhyr Iron-master (5), Kapricus Defenders (4), Ironkin Steeljacks with Heavy Volkanite Disintegrators (3), Sagitaur (4), Grimnyr (3), Hernkyn Yaegirs (6), Kâhl (5), Kapricus Carrier (5), Memnyr Strategist (3)

Thousand Sons, every dominated unit (letters per 11e list; its good jobs; dominators, strongest first):

• Heldrake [D], good at antiElite: ← Rubric Marines 0.64, Forgefiend 0.62, Tzaangor Enlightened 0.56, Screamers 0.54 (+16)
• Infernal Master [S], good at unlock, engine, actor: ← Sorcerer in Terminator Armour 0.40, Tzaangor Shaman 0.34, Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch 0.20, Sorcerer 0.18 (+1)
• Pink Horrors [·], good at hold, oc, reserves, antiHorde: ← Tzaangors 0.39
• Chaos Predator Destructor [B], good at reach, antiTank: ← Defiler 0.38, Chaos Land Raider 0.11
• Exalted Sorcerer [S], good at unlock, engine, actor: ← Sorcerer in Terminator Armour 0.34, Tzaangor Shaman 0.29, Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch 0.14, Sorcerer 0.13
• Lord of Change [·], good at reserves, antiTank, antiElite, tough: ← Screamers 0.24
• Sorcerer [S], good at unlock, engine, actor: ← Sorcerer in Terminator Armour 0.22, Tzaangor Shaman 0.18
• Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch [C], good at unlock, engine, actor: ← Sorcerer in Terminator Armour 0.20, Tzaangor Shaman 0.18
• Chaos Vindicator [B], good at reach, antiTank: ← Defiler 0.18
• Chaos Predator Annihilator [C], good at reach: ← Chaos Rhino 0.04, Defiler 0.04
• Undominated (25): Maulerfiend (7), Kairos Fateweaver (4), Forgefiend (7), Defiler (4), Screamers (11), Sekhetar Robots (9), Rubric Marines (7), Tzaangor Enlightened (10), Helbrute (5), Daemon Prince of Tzeentch (6), Chaos Spawn (5), Tzaangors (10), Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with wings (8), Flamers (8), Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster greatbows (7), Chaos Land Raider (4), Ahriman (5), Magnus the Red (4), Mutalith Vortex Beast (2), Scarab Occult Terminators (3), Sorcerer in Terminator Armour (4), Chaos Spawn (Flesh Change) (4), Blue Horrors (3), Chaos Rhino (5), Tzaangor Shaman (5)

Checks against players

List co-occurrence (grimstat-corpus, CC BY 4.0, lists published on MiniHeadQuarters; 11th-edition lists from 2026-06-20; counts only). Pairs where both units are in at least 20% of the army's lists and 3 lists: 2241 same-army pairs, of which 53 are dominance pairs.

By army (lists; units taken often; eligible pairs; dominance pairs; mean lift dominance / all):

Tyranids 27; 22; 231; 3; -0.30 / -0.13 · Space Marines 33; 19; 171; 3; 0.08 / -0.09 · Adeptus Mechanicus 18; 20; 190; 6; -0.39 / -0.01 · Agents of the Imperium 1; 0; 0; 0; – / – · Astra Militarum 17; 22; 231; 5; 0.25 / 0.05 · Blood Angels 14; 10; 45; 2; -0.06 / 0.03 · Dark Angels 28; 20; 190; 3; -0.23 / -0.10 · Death Guard 19; 16; 120; 2; -0.08 / -0.04 · Drukhari 14; 20; 190; 1; 0.05 / -0.04 · Emperor's Children 24; 13; 78; 1; -0.88 / 0.03 · Genestealer Cults 5; 8; 28; 0; – / 0.04 · Leagues of Votann 15; 17; 136; 10; -0.26 / -0.02 · Orks 27; 24; 276; 2; -0.01 / -0.04 · Space Wolves 12; 12; 66; 1; -0.51 / -0.07 · Thousand Sons 9; 18; 153; 9; -0.02 / -0.07 · World Eaters 16; 17; 136; 5; -0.00 / -0.11

The dominance pairs least often together (lift lowest first; together / expected):

• Adeptus Mechanicus: Tech-Priest Enginseer ← Skitarii Marshal (0.57): 0 / 2.0 (lift -1.61)
• Leagues of Votann: Ûthar the Destined ← Einhyr Champion (0.09): 0 / 2.0 (lift -1.61)
• Emperor's Children: Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings ← Fulgrim (0.01): 1 / 3.1 (lift -0.88)
• Leagues of Votann: Ûthar the Destined ← Ironkin Steeljacks with Melee Weapons (0.05): 2 / 4.7 (lift -0.73)
• Tyranids: Psychophage ← Norn Emissary (0.29): 1 / 2.4 (lift -0.67)
• Adeptus Mechanicus: Tech-Priest Manipulus ← Cybernetica Datasmith (1.00): 2 / 4.0 (lift -0.59)
• Dark Angels: Bladeguard Veteran Squad ← Inner Circle Companions (0.50): 2 / 3.9 (lift -0.56)
• Leagues of Votann: Arkanyst Evaluator ← Kâhl (0.14): 1 / 2.0 (lift -0.51)
• Space Wolves: Wolf Priest ← Wolf Guard Battle Leader (0.12): 1 / 2.0 (lift -0.51)
• Adeptus Mechanicus: Tech-Priest Enginseer ← Technoarcheologist (0.24): 1 / 1.7 (lift -0.37)
• Tyranids: Hive Tyrant ← Hyperadapted Raveners (0.23): 2 / 3.1 (lift -0.37)
• World Eaters: Daemon Prince of Khorne ← Eightbound (0.22): 4 / 5.6 (lift -0.31)

Jordan's pairs: the strict rule finds 0 of 13; the looser rules 4 (half an SD, top three good jobs) and 5 (half an SD, top two).

The archetypes as a rival finder: 9 of 13 of Jordan's pairs share their largest archetype (chance 2.29): Winged Hive Tyrant, Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons, Von Ryan's Leapers, Carnifexes, Toxicrene, Brôkhyr Iron-master, Maulerfiend, Chaos Spawn, Tzaangor Enlightened.

The rule's two settings (tolerance: how far below A, in army SDs, B may be on a good job and still count as at least as good; top: how many of A's good jobs count):

The dial domRival (the strict rule, worst shortfall: the default)

Track A: pooled 59.3 over 15 armies (11e lists); consensus pairs 64.7 over the 3 armies with 2+ lists.

Held out by army (choose on 10, score on 5, 3 seeds), exam pairwise: −1.27 ± 1.12 (picks 1, 0, 1); placebo +0.00 ± 0.00 (picks 0, 0, 0).

Track A's own: Tyranids 81.6 (consensus 89.5), Votann 61.0, Thousand Sons 38.2.

By army at 0.5 and 1 (exam pairwise Δ): Tyranids −0.3 / −0.8; Space Marines +0.2 / −0.9; Adeptus Mechanicus −1.2 / −1.9; Agents of the Imperium +1.8 / +3.1; Astra Militarum +1.3 / +4.0; Blood Angels +1.6 / +3.2; Dark Angels −0.0 / −0.3; Death Guard +1.9 / +2.3; Drukhari −1.0 / −0.5; Emperor's Children −1.0 / −1.6; Genestealer Cults −1.7 / −1.7; Leagues of Votann −2.9 / −9.5; Orks −0.2 / −0.7; Space Wolves +0.7 / +1.4; Thousand Sons +2.6 / +3.9; World Eaters −1.8 / −5.2.

Biggest rank movers at 0.5: Tyranids: Hive Guard [ABBCCABA] 31 → 38, Winged Hive Tyrant [ABBBBABB] 3 → 6, The Swarmlord [SSAASSA] 4 → 2, Biovores [SSSSSSSS] 6 → 4, Barbgaunts [CBCDCCB] 36 → 34, Hive Tyrant [SASAASAS] 2 → 3; Leagues of Votann: Arkanyst Evaluator [CBB] 7 → 17, Ûthar the Destined [BBAA] 16 → 18, Grimnyr [DCB] 17 → 15, Hernkyn Yaegirs [SA] 18 → 16, Brôkhyr Thunderkyn [SAS] 5 → 6, Hearthkyn Warriors [CBCC] 6 → 5; Thousand Sons: Heldrake [D] 11 → 24, Lord of Change [–] 12 → 16, Chaos Predator Destructor [B] 17 → 21, Flamers [–] 18 → 14, Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster greatbows [B] 19 → 15, Chaos Land Raider [C] 21 → 18.

The dial domRival (the strict rule, mean shortfall)

Track A: pooled 59.3 over 15 armies (11e lists); consensus pairs 64.7 over the 3 armies with 2+ lists.

Held out by army (choose on 10, score on 5, 3 seeds), exam pairwise: −0.21 ± 0.22 (picks 0.5, 0, 0.5); placebo −0.03 ± 0.06 (picks 0, 0.25, 0).

The dial domRival (half an SD's tolerance, top three good jobs)

Track A: pooled 59.3 over 15 armies (11e lists); consensus pairs 64.7 over the 3 armies with 2+ lists.

Held out by army (choose on 10, score on 5, 3 seeds), exam pairwise: −0.32 ± 0.28 (picks 0.5, 0, 0.5); placebo −0.14 ± 0.24 (picks 0, 0.25, 0).

The dial domRival (half an SD's tolerance, top two good jobs)

Track A: pooled 59.3 over 15 armies (11e lists); consensus pairs 64.7 over the 3 armies with 2+ lists.

Held out by army (choose on 10, score on 5, 3 seeds), exam pairwise: −0.02 ± 0.23 (picks 0.25, 0.25, 0.25); placebo −0.11 ± 0.20 (picks 0, 0.25, 0).