Tactical Reroll
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Popularity as a pointer: where players and our maths disagree (T-703)

From reports/tiers/2026-10-05-popularity-pointer.md , rendered when the site is built.

5 Oct 2026. Jordan: use popularity as a diagnostic, to show where to look; our letters stay rules-only. This is a report only. Popularity never enters a letter, a ledger file, a setting or a page. Value is Track A (step 34b, wCarry 0) on the frozen snapshot (d8b5a1bb14, inputs hash c5e7d85b43f8). List share is the share of an army's 11th-edition tournament lists that take a unit at least once: 487 lists from 30 events, 27 June to 26 September. Tournament data: grimstat-corpus (https://github.com/N041M/grimstat-corpus, CC BY 4.0). It holds lists published by their players and tournament organisers on MiniHeadQuarters. We read counts only, through tools/popularity.js (T-693).

In plain English

So players act on these kinds, but either the dials' form misses how the kinds work, or the reviewers grade them less than players play them. Only indirect fire has no dial yet: one unit here, the Reductus Saboteur, waiting on T-699's Hidden rule. Only the fitted rule multipliers (r.synapse 2.18, r.cp 1.88, r.first 2.64, r.lone 1.93) point the other way: the pointer says they lift the wrong units. The cascade is already searching them.

Read with care.

What it suggests for the work (Jordan's call, nothing adopted):

  1. The non-Kill lines are too light for the units whose job they describe. The cascade's per-line weights already have the room to test this.
  2. A dedicated transport's worth: the Rhinos, Venom and Trukk in nine armies.
  3. The sibling rule, kept narrow to datasheets of one family. The broad "rivals" dial (T-682) failed, but the narrow sibling case concentrates three times over.
  4. The fitted multipliers, which the cascade is already searching.

How it's done: node --max-old-space-size=2000 tools/poppointer.js --json reports/tiers/2026-10-05-popularity-pointer.json --md <file> runs in about 4 s, on one thread. The sections from "Kinds × armies" onward are the tool's --md output; the section above is written by hand. The gap is the unit's percentile on list share minus its percentile on Value, within its army, with ties sharing their mean rank. Units no list takes are left out of the underrated side. The kinds and their tests are in the tool's KINDS table. "Lift" is the rate a kind's flag holds among the pointer's units on its side, divided by its rate among every ranked unit, pooled over the 15 armies.

Kinds × armies

Each cell: units in the army's 6 underrated (u) and 6 overrated (o) that the guess puts in the kind (a guess names one or two kinds).

KindSideArmiesTyrSMAdMAMBADADGDruECGSCLoVOrkSWTSWEFlag rate: its side / all units (lift)The ledger's dialWhat it measured
A like-job rival takes the slotover152o3o3o4o3o4o4o6o4o2o3o2o5o2o2o54% / 44% (×1.24)rivals (T-682)not kept: held out −0.73 ± 0.73, placebo +0.00
Deep Strike or reservesunder132u1u1u2u3u1u2u1u1u2u1u2u2u33% / 26% (×1.26)the charge model's arrival reach (Track A); arrivalKill (T-633)arrivalKill +2.2 held out on Tyranids, no transfer; at 0
Leader that unlocks a squadunder112u1u1u3u3u4u2u2u2u2u3u31% / 15% (×2.13)leaderCredit, leadersLeading, charLead, charHome (T-604, T-670, T-673)leaderCredit −0.8 ± 0.2; leadersLeading exam −2.3; charLead below its placebo; charHome not measured; all at 0
Lifted by a fitted rule multiplierover116o3o2o1o1o4o1o2o1o1o1o26% / 19% (×1.35)r.first 2.64, r.lone 1.93, r.synapse 2.18, r.cp 1.88 (Track A); cpOnce (T-673)step 31's halving not kept; the cascade searches them (r.cp, r.synapse settle above 1); cpOnce not measured
Durable holderunder111u1u1u1u1u1u1u1u1u1u2u27% / 33% (×0.81)wSoak, threatSoak, wHold (Track A)threatSoak adopted (step 26); Soak about 2% of Value
Army-rule enablerunder101u1u4u2u1u1u2u1u1u5u21% / 20% (×1.08)armyEnabler, armyOrders (T-695); r.synapse 2.18 and r.cp 1.88 in Track A (on its own Kill)armyEnabler +0.3 pooled [+0.0, +0.8], Thousand Sons +4.9, at 0; armyOrders +0.1 (Astra Militarum +1.2), at 0
Forward deploy (Infiltrators, Scouts)under101u2u1u1u1u1u2u2u1u2u20% / 13% (×1.56)screenHide, screenArea (T-675)screenHide −1.29, screenArea −0.02 game-wide (World Eaters +5.9); at 0
Unexplained by our databoth91u 1o1o1u 1o1o1u1u2u 2o3o3o–none–
Transportunder91u1u2u1u1u2u1u1u1u12% / 10% (×1.25)wCarry / carryCargo (T-629, T-674)held out −0.0 ± 0.5; any setting lifts every cheap transport; at 0
Battle-shock pressureunder81u4u1u1u1u1u1u2u13% / 11% (×1.19)shockPressure (Track A, step 34); charShockAmp (T-673)shockPressure adopted (73.7 → 74.8 on the Tyranid lists); charShockAmp not measured
Lone Operative or Stealthunder71u2u2u1u2u2u1u13% / 8% (×1.74)r.lone 1.93 (Track A); loneOpSoak, screenHide, charLoner.lone fitted 1.93; loneOpSoak 0.0; screenHide −1.29; charLone not beyond noise
Its sibling datasheet takes the slotover62o2o1o1o1o1o9% / 3% (×3.13)rivals (T-682)not kept: held out −0.73 ± 0.73, placebo +0.00
Cheap action-doerunder61u1u1u2u1u1u10% / 12% (×0.85)wActions (Track A); secondaryVP, missionVP (T-641, T-647)wActions 1.31 (small); secondaryVP not kept (+1.3 Tyranids held out); missionVP not kept
Cheap piece flattered per pointover51o1o2o2o2o12% / 21% (×0.57)smallPiece (T-670)+1.2 ± 1.0 held out (Tyranids −3.1); the cascade keeps it at most 0.2
Costly centrepieceover52o1o1o2o1o9% / 9% (×1.03)pointsExp (T-662)the grid's best pick is 0
Screen or scorerunder42u1u1u1u6% / 4% (×1.45)screenTrade, screenArea, screenBlock, screenScore (T-675); Score and Hold lines in Track Agame-wide −0.02 to −0.95 (screenTrade +0.15 ± 0.06); World Eaters +4.1 to +5.9; at 0
Leans on one detachmentover31o6o2o10% / 7% (×1.53)typicalDet (T-683)the typical detachment loses (−0.38); not kept
Overwatchover32o1o1o4% / 3% (×1.42)r.overwatch 1 (Jordan's call)never searched
Epic Hero or auraunder31u1u1u9% / 14% (×0.65)charEpic, charAura (T-673); armyAura (T-695)charEpic +0.29 ± 0.54, charAura +0.09 ± 0.12; armyAura not built
Psykerunder21u1u11% / 7% (×1.5)charPsychic (T-673)below its placebo; at 0
Spawns or healsunder21u1u2% / 7% (×0.3)Spawn line, r.heal 1.805 (Track A)adopted (step 30 halved heal toward 1)
Indirect fireunder11u1% / 3% (×0.36)none (the Hidden rule with the Indirect penalty is T-699, after the cascade)not built
Aircraftover11o1% / 2% (×0.52)aircraftBoard (T-670)+0.2 ± 0.1 held out, none worse; on the page at 0

Armies: Tyr Tyranids, SM Space Marines, AdM Adeptus Mechanicus, AM Astra Militarum, BA Blood Angels, DA Dark Angels, DG Death Guard, Dru Drukhari, EC Emperor's Children, GSC Genestealer Cults, LoV Leagues of Votann, Ork Orks, SW Space Wolves, TS Thousand Sons, WE World Eaters.

What the lines credit, by group

Each unit's lines as shares of its Value, averaged within the group, then over the armies (each army once).

GroupKillSoakScoreActionsHoldSpawnPresence
Underrated (players take more)79.92.16.31.47.70.02.7
Overrated (we rank higher)90.82.91.80.14.20.00.3
Every ranked unit86.02.73.30.85.70.01.6

Jordan's Tyranid notes: would the pointer have found them?

UnitJordan's noteOur rankShare (rank)Found alone?Where it sitsThe pointer's guess
Gargoylesearn their slot by jailing and stealing objectives4615% (26)yes4 of 52 on the underrated sidecheap bodies: screen, objective holder or trade piece; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Winged Hive Tyrantloses its slot to the Hive Tyrant311% (32)yes1 of 52 on the overrated sideits sibling Hive Tyrant takes the slot (in 26% of lists); Value lifted ×4.1 by fitted multipliers (synapse 2.18, cp 1.88)
Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weaponslose their slot to the melee Warriors (maybe a reviewers' miss)174% (37)yes3 of 52 on the overrated sideits sibling Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons takes the slot (in 19% of lists); Value lifted ×2.2 by fitted multipliers (synapse 2.18)
Von Ryan's Leaperslose their slot to the Lictors1156% (5)no39 of 52 on the overrated side–
Carnifexeslose their slot to the Haruspex3215% (26)no31 of 52 on the overrated side–
Toxicreneloses its slot to the Haruspex410% (42)no16 of 52 on the overrated side–

Army by army

Columns: points of the best form; list share (lists taking it, of the army's tournament lists); our rank on Value; what its lines credit (% of its Value, lines ≥ 1%); its best form (size, detachment); the reviewers' letters on the army's 11th-edition lists (· not graded); the guess.

Tyranids

27 tournament lists; 52 ranked units, 41 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.71; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: auspexFull, hivemindFull, secondFull.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Neurotyrant13067% (18)29 of 52Kill 89, Hold 4, Score 3, Soak 2×1, Invasion Fleet (Hyper-Aggression)A · ·enabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; Battle-shock pressure on the enemy army
Raveners12548% (13)28 of 52Kill 94, Soak 2, Hold 2, Score 2×5, Invasion Fleet (Hyper-Aggression)S B Aarrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Genestealers7544% (12)30 of 52Kill 92, Hold 3, Score 3, Soak 2×5, Invasion Fleet (Hyper-Aggression)A A Adeploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial
Gargoyles15515% (4)46 of 52Kill 45, Score 29, Hold 25×20, Invasion Fleet (Swarming Instincts)B B Bcheap bodies: screen, objective holder or trade piece; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Tyrant Guard17015% (4)45 of 52Kill 80, Hold 12, Soak 5, Score 3×6, Subterranean AssaultB B Adurable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value
Termagants11019% (5)38 of 52Kill 38, Hold 37, Score 24, Soak 1×20, Invasion Fleet (Swarming Instincts)B B Ccheap bodies: screen, objective holder or trade piece

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Winged Hive Tyrant18511% (3)3 of 52Kill 96, Soak 2, Hold 1×1, Subterranean AssaultA B Bits sibling Hive Tyrant takes the slot (in 26% of lists); Value lifted ×4.1 by fitted multipliers (synapse 2.18, cp 1.88)
Tervigon1600% (0)21 of 52Kill 79, Hold 10, Soak 4, Spawn 3, Score 3×1, Invasion Fleet (Hyper-Aggression)B C CHyperadapted Raveners does a like job and is taken in 44% of lists; Value lifted ×2.4 by fitted multipliers (synapse 2.18)
Tyranid Warriors with Ranged Bio-Weapons1204% (1)17 of 52Kill 81, Hold 10, Score 7, Soak 2×6, Subterranean AssaultC C Cits sibling Tyranid Warriors with Melee Bio-Weapons takes the slot (in 19% of lists); Value lifted ×2.2 by fitted multipliers (synapse 2.18)
Hive Tyrant19526% (7)2 of 52Kill 95, Soak 2, Hold 1×1, Subterranean AssaultS A SThe Swarmlord does a like job and is taken in 52% of lists; Value lifted ×4.6 by fitted multipliers (synapse 2.18, cp 1.88)
Old One Eye14015% (4)13 of 52Kill 92, Soak 5, Hold 2×1, Invasion Fleet (Hyper-Aggression)B B AValue lifted ×1.8 by fitted multipliers (heal 1.805)
Deathleaper8033% (9)5 of 52Kill 95, Soak 4×1, Subterranean AssaultA S AValue lifted ×1.9 by fitted multipliers (first 2.64, lone 1.93, cp 1.88)

Space Marines

33 tournament lists; 84 ranked units, 56 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.31; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: auspexFull, tobias.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon9536% (12)81 of 84Kill 84, Hold 5, Score 4, Presence 3, Soak 3, Actions 2×1, Ironstorm SpearheadA Shard to target (Lone Operative or Stealth): protection that Soak doesn't count; deploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial
Librarian in Terminator Armour8555% (18)71 of 84Kill 93, Soak 2, Hold 2, Score 1, Presence 1×1, Librarius Conclave (Divination)S Bleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Librarian7027% (9)68 of 84Kill 94, Score 2, Hold 1, Presence 1, Soak 1×1, Librarius Conclave (Divination)S Aleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form; psyker: psychic abilities on its squad or the army
Scout Squad12061% (20)48 of 84Kill 82, Hold 10, Score 5, Soak 3×10, Ironstorm SpearheadS Sdeploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial; cheap small unit: actions, secondaries and objective grabs
Company Heroes10533% (11)51 of 84Kill 88, Hold 6, Soak 3, Score 3×4, Ironstorm SpearheadA Bdurable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value
Lieutenant4527% (9)56 of 84Kill 93, Hold 2, Soak 2, Score 2, Presence 1×1, Ironstorm SpearheadS Cno flag in our data: list synergy, detachment play or the meta

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Centurion Assault Squad1500% (0)9 of 84Kill 90, Hold 4, Soak 4, Score 2×3, Stormlance Task ForceB Cno flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see
Firestrike Servo-Turrets750% (0)11 of 84Kill 94, Soak 2, Hold 2, Score 1×1, Ironstorm SpearheadB Doverwatch piece
Stormhawk Interceptor1550% (0)17 of 84Kill 96, Soak 4×1, Ironstorm SpearheadC FLand Raider Redeemer does a like job and is taken in 27% of lists; aircraft: off the board early, can't hold objectives
Gladiator Valiant1500% (0)18 of 84Kill 94, Soak 3, Hold 2×1, Ironstorm SpearheadA CLand Raider Redeemer does a like job and is taken in 27% of lists
Invictor Tactical Warsuit1250% (0)22 of 84Kill 93, Hold 3, Soak 3, Score 2×1, Ironstorm SpearheadB Doverwatch piece
Hellblaster Squad1103% (1)4 of 84Kill 94, Hold 2, Soak 2, Score 2×5, Ironstorm SpearheadA CScout Squad does a like job and is taken in 61% of lists

Adeptus Mechanicus

18 tournament lists; 34 ranked units, 28 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.38; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: belisariusPaul.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Cybernetica Datasmith2544% (8)30 of 34Kill 62, Hold 20, Score 6, Presence 6, Soak 4, Actions 3×1, Lords of the Forge–Battle-shock pressure on the enemy army; durable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value
Tech-Priest Manipulus6050% (9)26 of 34Kill 90, Hold 3, Soak 3, Score 2, Presence 2×1, Lords of the ForgeABattle-shock pressure on the enemy army; leader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form
Skitarii Marshal3533% (6)34 of 34Kill 55, Score 14, Presence 13, Hold 11, Actions 7×1, Cohort CyberneticaABattle-shock pressure on the enemy army; hard to target (Lone Operative or Stealth): protection that Soak doesn't count
Sicarian Infiltrators7578% (14)19 of 34Kill 90, Hold 4, Soak 3, Score 3×5, Cohort Acquisitus or 7 othersBBattle-shock pressure on the enemy army; hard to target (Lone Operative or Stealth): protection that Soak doesn't count
Pteraxii Skystalkers15044% (8)25 of 34Kill 84, Hold 8, Score 5, Soak 2×10, Cohort Acquisitus or 7 othersDarrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Skorpius Dunerider7539% (7)24 of 34Kill 78, Hold 11, Score 4, Soak 4, Presence 2, Actions 1×1, Cohort Acquisitus or 7 othersBtransport: what it carries and delivers; enabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Sydonian Dragoons with taser lances17017% (3)2 of 34Kill 88, Soak 6, Hold 4×3, Cohort Acquisitus or 7 othersAValue lifted ×1.9 by fitted multipliers (cp 1.88)
Hastarii Exterminators1050% (0)15 of 34Kill 94, Soak 2, Hold 2, Score 2×5, Cohort Acquisitus or 7 othersBSkitarii Rangers does a like job and is taken in 89% of lists
Fulgurite Electro-Priests1406% (1)12 of 34Kill 93, Hold 3, Soak 2, Score 2×10, Cohort CyberneticaDSicarian Ruststalkers does a like job and is taken in 50% of lists
Onager Dunecrawler15533% (6)1 of 34Kill 94, Soak 4, Hold 1×1, Cohort Acquisitus or 7 othersCValue lifted ×2.1 by fitted multipliers (cp 1.88)
Skorpius Disintegrator16033% (6)4 of 34Kill 94, Soak 4, Hold 1×1, Cohort Acquisitus or 7 othersAValue lifted ×1.9 by fitted multipliers (cp 1.88)
Corpuscarii Electro-Priests13017% (3)11 of 34Kill 92, Hold 3, Soak 2, Score 2×10, Luminen Auto-choirCServitor Battleclade does a like job and is taken in 67% of lists

Agents of the Imperium

Skipped: 1 tournament list (fewer than 5).

Astra Militarum

17 tournament lists; 72 ranked units, 49 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.24; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: auspex.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Ursula Creed8529% (5)68 of 72Kill 56, Score 18, Presence 14, Actions 7, Hold 5×1, Abhuman Auxiliaries or 5 othersAenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; Epic Hero or aura on nearby friends
Scout Sentinels10065% (11)53 of 72Kill 85, Hold 7, Soak 4, Score 3×2, Combined ArmsSdeploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial; cheap small unit: actions, secondaries and objective grabs
Tech-Priest Enginseer4541% (7)61 of 72Kill 84, Score 5, Presence 4, Hold 3, Soak 2, Actions 2×1, Armoured InfantryShard to target (Lone Operative or Stealth): protection that Soak doesn't count; spawns or returns models
Commissar3024% (4)69 of 72Score 30, Presence 23, Kill 18, Hold 17, Actions 12×1, Armoured InfantryAenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; Battle-shock pressure on the enemy army
Gaunt’s Ghosts9553% (9)51 of 72Kill 88, Score 4, Hold 4, Soak 3×6, Abhuman Auxiliaries or 5 othersSenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; hard to target (Lone Operative or Stealth): protection that Soak doesn't count
Krieg Command Squad6018% (3)60 of 72Kill 76, Score 11, Hold 9, Presence 2, Soak 1×6, Armoured Infantry–enabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; leader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Hydra900% (0)6 of 72Kill 94, Soak 3, Hold 2, Score 1×1, Combined ArmsBno flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see
Leman Russ Executioner1450% (0)9 of 72Kill 93, Soak 5, Hold 2×1, Combined ArmsSLeman Russ Battle Tank does a like job and is taken in 47% of lists
Catachan Command Squad600% (0)11 of 72Kill 89, Score 5, Hold 3, Soak 1×5, Abhuman Auxiliaries or 5 othersCGaunt’s Ghosts does a like job and is taken in 53% of lists; Value lifted ×1.8 by fitted multipliers (heal 1.805)
Shadowsword3750% (0)12 of 72Kill 90, Soak 6, Hold 3×1, Abhuman Auxiliaries or 5 othersScostly centrepiece: a big slot of the list in one model
Baneblade4150% (0)15 of 72Kill 91, Soak 6, Hold 3×1, Abhuman Auxiliaries or 5 othersSBanesword does a like job and is taken in 29% of lists; costly centrepiece: a big slot of the list in one model
Krieg Heavy Weapons Squad706% (1)2 of 72Kill 94, Score 2, Hold 1, Soak 1×4, Abhuman Auxiliaries or 4 othersBTempestus Scions does a like job and is taken in 53% of lists; Value lifted ×1.8 by fitted multipliers (heal 1.805)

Blood Angels

14 tournament lists; 20 ranked units, 14 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share -0.03; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: grimdarkChronicle.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Sanguinary Priest7571% (10)20 of 20Kill 40, Hold 25, Score 24, Presence 7, Actions 4×1, Ironstorm SpearheadAno flag in our data: list synergy, detachment play or the meta
Lemartes10079% (11)18 of 20Kill 96, Score 1, Hold 1, Soak 1×1, Ironstorm SpearheadAleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Chaplain6036% (5)19 of 20Kill 85, Hold 7, Score 5, Soak 2, Presence 1×1, Rage-Cursed OnslaughtBBattle-shock pressure on the enemy army; leader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form
Sanguinary Guard12093% (13)9 of 20Kill 90, Hold 5, Soak 3, Score 2×3, Rage-Cursed OnslaughtBarrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Captain with Jump Pack7586% (12)8 of 20Kill 93, Hold 3, Soak 2, Score 2×1, Rage-Cursed OnslaughtBenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; leader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form
Blood Angels Captain8029% (4)14 of 20Kill 91, Hold 4, Score 2, Soak 2×1, Rage-Cursed OnslaughtCenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Death Company Dreadnought1500% (0)1 of 20Kill 94, Hold 3, Soak 3×1, Bastion Task ForceBno flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see
The Sanguinor1200% (0)3 of 20Kill 96, Soak 3×1, Rage-Cursed OnslaughtSCaptain with Jump Pack does a like job and is taken in 86% of lists
Chief Librarian Mephiston11029% (4)2 of 20Kill 93, Soak 5, Hold 1×1, Rage-Cursed OnslaughtSCaptain with Jump Pack does a like job and is taken in 86% of lists; 159% of its Value comes from its best detachment over any other
Death Company Marines with Bolt Rifles807% (1)6 of 20Kill 79, Hold 14, Score 4, Soak 3×5, Rage-Cursed OnslaughtBits sibling Death Company Marines with Jump Packs takes the slot (in 93% of lists)
Death Company Intercessors750% (0)11 of 20Kill 70, Hold 20, Score 6, Soak 3×5, Rage-Cursed Onslaught–Death Company Marines with Jump Packs does a like job and is taken in 93% of lists
Death Company Marines857% (1)7 of 20Kill 80, Hold 13, Score 4, Soak 3×5, Rage-Cursed OnslaughtCits sibling Death Company Marines with Jump Packs takes the slot (in 93% of lists)

Dark Angels

28 tournament lists; 93 ranked units, 59 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.17; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: tacticalrock.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon9521% (6)90 of 93Kill 85, Hold 5, Score 4, Presence 3, Soak 3, Actions 1×1, Ironstorm SpearheadShard to target (Lone Operative or Stealth): protection that Soak doesn't count; deploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial
Deathwing Knights24075% (21)67 of 93Kill 81, Hold 10, Soak 7, Score 2×5, Interrogation ConclaveBarrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board; durable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value
Librarian7029% (8)79 of 93Kill 94, Score 2, Hold 1, Soak 1, Presence 1×1, Librarius Conclave (Divination)Sleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form; psyker: psychic abilities on its squad or the army
Librarian in Terminator Armour8525% (7)81 of 93Kill 93, Soak 2, Hold 2, Score 1×1, Librarius Conclave (Divination)Dleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Invader ATV6025% (7)75 of 93Kill 86, Hold 7, Score 3, Soak 3, Presence 1×1, Ironstorm SpearheadCcheap small unit: actions, secondaries and objective grabs
Chaplain in Terminator Armour7514% (4)84 of 93Kill 90, Hold 4, Score 2, Soak 2, Presence 2×1, Ironstorm SpearheadCleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Captain with Jump Pack750% (0)5 of 93Kill 96, Soak 2, Hold 1×1, Ironstorm SpearheadCAzrael does a like job and is taken in 86% of lists; Value lifted ×1.9 by fitted multipliers (cp 1.88)
Gladiator Valiant1500% (0)6 of 93Kill 95, Soak 3, Hold 1×1, Ironstorm SpearheadCLand Speeder does a like job and is taken in 39% of lists
Firestrike Servo-Turrets750% (0)14 of 93Kill 94, Soak 2, Hold 2, Score 1×1, Ironstorm SpearheadFLand Speeder does a like job and is taken in 39% of lists; overwatch piece
Infernus Squad850% (0)16 of 93Kill 90, Hold 5, Score 3, Soak 2×5, Interrogation ConclaveBScout Squad does a like job and is taken in 68% of lists
Heavy Intercessor Squad2000% (0)17 of 93Kill 59, Hold 32, Soak 6, Score 4×10, Wrath of the RockDits sibling Intercessor Squad takes the slot (in 61% of lists)
Lazarus700% (0)18 of 93Kill 96, Soak 2×1, Ironstorm SpearheadFcheap piece: Value per point flatters what it does in absolute terms

Death Guard

19 tournament lists; 36 ranked units, 25 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.29; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: disgustinglyResilient.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Tallyman6074% (14)35 of 36Kill 35, Score 22, Hold 21, Presence 14, Actions 7×1, Paragons of PutrescenceBenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; leader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form
Chaos Rhino7563% (12)33 of 36Kill 62, Hold 22, Score 10, Presence 3, Soak 2, Actions 2×1, Tallyband SummonersAtransport: what it carries and delivers; durable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value
Biologus Putrifier6058% (11)30 of 36Kill 92, Score 3, Hold 2, Presence 2×1, Paragons of PutrescenceSleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form
Lord of Virulence10053% (10)28 of 36Kill 95, Soak 1, Hold 1, Score 1×1, Paragons of PutrescenceBleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Chaos Spawn8047% (9)27 of 36Kill 91, Hold 4, Soak 2, Score 2×2, Tallyband SummonersBdeploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial
Noxious Blightbringer5011% (2)29 of 36Kill 90, Hold 3, Score 3, Presence 2, Soak 1×1, Paragons of PutrescenceBBattle-shock pressure on the enemy army; leader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Daemon Prince of Nurgle with wings1700% (0)9 of 36Kill 95, Soak 2, Hold 2×1, Paragons of PutrescenceAits sibling Daemon Prince of Nurgle takes the slot (in 63% of lists)
Helbrute1100% (0)11 of 36Kill 95, Hold 2, Soak 2, Score 1×1, Tallyband SummonersCno flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see
Beasts of Nurgle1400% (0)13 of 36Kill 86, Hold 8, Score 4, Soak 2×2, Tallyband SummonersSPlague Marines does a like job and is taken in 79% of lists; Value lifted ×1.9 by fitted multipliers (heal 1.805)
Rotigus2800% (0)14 of 36Kill 87, Hold 6, Soak 5, Score 1×1, Paragons of PutrescenceSDaemon Prince of Nurgle does a like job and is taken in 63% of lists; costly centrepiece: a big slot of the list in one model
Lord of Poxes655% (1)8 of 36Kill 96, Soak 2, Hold 1×1, Paragons of PutrescenceBTallyman does a like job and is taken in 74% of lists; cheap piece: Value per point flatters what it does in absolute terms
Plague Drones2200% (0)18 of 36Kill 73, Hold 19, Soak 4, Score 4×6, Tallyband SummonersCPoxwalkers does a like job and is taken in 95% of lists

Drukhari

14 tournament lists; 37 ranked units, 22 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.16; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: deployOnTheLine.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Venom6593% (13)34 of 37Kill 91, Soak 3, Hold 3, Score 2, Presence 1×1, Reaper's WagerStransport: what it carries and delivers; hard to target (Lone Operative or Stealth): protection that Soak doesn't count
Scourges with Heavy Weapons110100% (14)27 of 37Kill 93, Score 3, Hold 2, Soak 1×5, Reaper's WagerBarrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Raider7579% (11)30 of 37Kill 86, Soak 5, Hold 5, Score 2×1, Reaper's WagerStransport: what it carries and delivers; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Mandrakes160100% (14)19 of 37Kill 91, Hold 3, Score 3, Soak 2×10, Reaper's WagerAhard to target (Lone Operative or Stealth): protection that Soak doesn't count; deploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial
Archon8086% (12)22 of 37Kill 90, Soak 5, Hold 3, Score 1×1, Reaper's WagerAenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; Battle-shock pressure on the enemy army
Hand of the Archon11571% (10)24 of 37Kill 84, Hold 7, Score 5, Soak 3×10, Reaper's WagerAno flag in our data: list synergy, detachment play or the meta

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Solitaire1150% (0)2 of 37Kill 98, Soak 2×1, Reaper's Wager–Lady Malys does a like job and is taken in 93% of lists
Troupe1000% (0)3 of 37Kill 87, Hold 6, Soak 4, Score 2×11, Reaper's Wager–Mandrakes does a like job and is taken in 100% of lists
Prince Yriel950% (0)4 of 37Kill 98, Soak 2×1, Any detachment–Lady Malys does a like job and is taken in 93% of lists
Lelith Hesperax8021% (3)1 of 37Kill 98, Soak 1×1, Reaper's WagerASuccubus does a like job and is taken in 57% of lists
Corsair Voidscarred700% (0)12 of 37Kill 91, Score 3, Hold 3, Soak 2×5, Any detachment–Scourges with Heavy Weapons does a like job and is taken in 100% of lists; cheap piece: Value per point flatters what it does in absolute terms
Corsair Voidreavers650% (0)13 of 37Kill 84, Hold 7, Score 7, Soak 2×5, Any detachment–Kabalite Warriors does a like job and is taken in 86% of lists; cheap piece: Value per point flatters what it does in absolute terms

Emperor's Children

24 tournament lists; 23 ranked units, 19 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.25; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: joys.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Chaos Rhino7054% (13)23 of 23Kill 59, Hold 20, Score 11, Presence 5, Actions 3, Soak 2×1, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)Atransport: what it carries and delivers; cheap small unit: actions, secondaries and objective grabs
Lord Exultant9096% (23)14 of 23Kill 97, Soak 1×1, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)Aleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form
Lord Kakophonist7029% (7)22 of 23Kill 89, Hold 3, Score 3, Presence 2, Soak 2, Actions 1×1, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)Bleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings20563% (15)16 of 23Kill 94, Soak 3, Hold 2, Score 1×1, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)Barrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board; durable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value
Chaos Spawn7033% (8)18 of 23Kill 92, Hold 3, Soak 2, Score 2×2, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)Bcheap small unit: actions, secondaries and objective grabs
Defiler30079% (19)11 of 23Kill 95, Soak 2, Hold 1×1, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)Sno flag in our data: list synergy, detachment play or the meta

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Fiends904% (1)3 of 23Kill 93, Hold 3, Score 2, Soak 2×3, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)AFlawless Blades does a like job and is taken in 83% of lists; 36% of its Value comes from its best detachment over any other
Keeper of Secrets2650% (0)8 of 23Kill 90, Soak 5, Hold 4, Score 1×1, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)ADaemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings does a like job and is taken in 63% of lists; 31% of its Value comes from its best detachment over any other
Daemonettes1008% (2)1 of 23Kill 95, Score 2, Hold 2, Soak 1×10, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)CTormentors does a like job and is taken in 96% of lists; 27% of its Value comes from its best detachment over any other
Seekers850% (0)13 of 23Kill 92, Score 3, Hold 3, Soak 2×5, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)BTormentors does a like job and is taken in 96% of lists; 32% of its Value comes from its best detachment over any other
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh1704% (1)10 of 23Kill 94, Soak 3, Hold 2, Score 1×1, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)Cits sibling Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings takes the slot (in 63% of lists); 36% of its Value comes from its best detachment over any other
Maulerfiend12025% (6)6 of 23Kill 94, Soak 3, Hold 2×1, Coterie of the Conceited (Pledges to the Dark Prince over the game)A32% of its Value comes from its best detachment over any other

Genestealer Cults

5 tournament lists; 90 ranked units, 25 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.27; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: rey, vonCarmian.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Jackal Alphus5540% (2)84 of 90Kill 71, Score 12, Presence 7, Hold 5, Actions 4×1, Final DayB Cleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form; hard to target (Lone Operative or Stealth): protection that Soak doesn't count
Nexos6020% (1)87 of 90Score 45, Presence 29, Actions 15, Hold 10×1, Final DayB Cenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Atalan Jackals8560% (3)74 of 90Kill 81, Score 8, Hold 8, Soak 2, Presence 1×5, Final DayB Bhard to target (Lone Operative or Stealth): protection that Soak doesn't count; deploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial
Acolyte Iconward5020% (1)86 of 90Kill 40, Score 26, Presence 17, Actions 9, Hold 8×1, Final DayB Bleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form; deploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial
Reductus Saboteur7060% (3)70 of 90Kill 92, Score 3, Presence 2, Soak 1, Actions 1×1, Heroes of the UprisingB Aindirect fire: shoots without being seen, safe from return fire; enabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units
Goliath Truck7540% (2)69 of 90Kill 85, Hold 6, Soak 4, Score 3, Presence 1×1, Final DayB ·transport: what it carries and delivers; durable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Winged Hive Tyrant1850% (0)2 of 90Kill 95, Soak 3×1, Final Day–Value lifted ×4.4 by fitted multipliers (synapse 2.18, cp 1.88)
Attilan Rough Riders600% (0)10 of 90Kill 94, Hold 2, Score 2, Soak 2×5, Biosanctic Broodsurge or 6 others–cheap piece: Value per point flatters what it does in absolute terms
Abominant850% (0)11 of 90Kill 97, Soak 2×1, Final DayC AValue lifted ×1.9 by fitted multipliers (heal 1.805)
Krieg Heavy Weapons Squad700% (0)15 of 90Kill 93, Score 3, Hold 2, Soak 2×4, Biosanctic Broodsurge or 6 others–Value lifted ×1.8 by fitted multipliers (heal 1.805); cheap piece: Value per point flatters what it does in absolute terms
Trygon1400% (0)16 of 90Kill 94, Soak 4, Hold 2×1, Final Day–Goliath Rockgrinder does a like job and is taken in 40% of lists
Catachan Jungle Fighters1350% (0)20 of 90Kill 58, Hold 21, Score 19, Soak 2×20, Biosanctic Broodsurge or 6 others–Neophyte Hybrids does a like job and is taken in 100% of lists; Value lifted ×1.9 by fitted multipliers (cp 1.88)

Leagues of Votann

15 tournament lists; 22 ranked units, 21 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share -0.07; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: auspex.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Kapricus Carrier7080% (12)21 of 22Kill 84, Hold 7, Score 4, Soak 2, Presence 2×1, Persecution Prospect–transport: what it carries and delivers; deploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial
Memnyr Strategist4573% (11)22 of 22Hold 35, Score 32, Presence 22, Actions 12×1, Brandfast OathbandBenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; leader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form
Hernkyn Yaegirs9087% (13)18 of 22Kill 75, Hold 14, Score 8, Soak 3×10, Brandfast Oathband–deploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial; cheap bodies: screen, objective holder or trade piece
Kâhl6567% (10)20 of 22Kill 94, Soak 2, Hold 2, Score 1×1, Brandfast Oathband–leader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Einhyr Hearthguard13073% (11)15 of 22Kill 90, Hold 4, Soak 3, Score 2×5, Brandfast OathbandAarrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board; durable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value
Hekaton Land Fortress250100% (15)10 of 22Kill 87, Soak 7, Hold 5×1, Persecution ProspectAtransport: what it carries and delivers; Epic Hero or aura on nearby friends

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Cthonian Beserks957% (1)3 of 22Kill 95, Soak 2, Hold 2, Score 1×5, Brandfast OathbandBoverwatch piece
Berehk Stornbröw857% (1)4 of 22Kill 96, Soak 3×1, Brandfast Oathband–Ûthar the Destined does a like job and is taken in 67% of lists
Arkanyst Evaluator7020% (3)7 of 22Kill 97, Soak 1×1, Brandfast OathbandBcheap piece: Value per point flatters what it does in absolute terms
Buri Aegnirssen8567% (10)1 of 22Kill 94, Soak 5×1, Brandfast OathbandBValue lifted ×2.2 by fitted multipliers (lone 1.93, heal 1.805)
Einhyr Champion6520% (3)8 of 22Kill 95, Soak 3, Hold 1×1, Brandfast OathbandCBuri Aegnirssen does a like job and is taken in 67% of lists; cheap piece: Value per point flatters what it does in absolute terms
Kapricus Defenders1407% (1)12 of 22Kill 93, Soak 3, Hold 3, Score 1×2, Persecution ProspectBHekaton Land Fortress does a like job and is taken in 100% of lists

Orks

27 tournament lists; 55 ranked units, 37 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.31; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: spruesandbrews.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Gretchin8093% (25)48 of 55Hold 40, Kill 29, Score 28, Presence 1×20, War HordeBcheap bodies: screen, objective holder or trade piece
Trukk6059% (16)49 of 55Kill 81, Hold 9, Score 4, Soak 3, Presence 2×1, War HordeCtransport: what it carries and delivers; cheap small unit: actions, secondaries and objective grabs
Painboy4548% (13)45 of 55Kill 93, Score 2, Presence 2, Hold 1×1, War Horde–no flag in our data: list synergy, detachment play or the meta
Wazdakka Gutsmek20067% (18)35 of 55Kill 94, Soak 4, Hold 1, Score 1×1, War HordeShard to target (Lone Operative or Stealth): protection that Soak doesn't count; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Warboss10067% (18)33 of 55Kill 97, Soak 1×1, War HordeAenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; Battle-shock pressure on the enemy army
Bannernob3526% (7)47 of 55Kill 77, Hold 9, Score 9, Presence 3, Soak 2, Actions 1×1, War HordeBno flag in our data: list synergy, detachment play or the meta

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Mek Gunz1650% (0)9 of 55Kill 94, Soak 2, Hold 2, Score 2×3, Madcap Meks (Unpredictable Genius over the game)–no flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see
Killa Kans1300% (0)14 of 55Kill 90, Hold 4, Soak 4, Score 2×3, Dread Mob (Try Dat Button! over the game)B34% of its Value comes from its best detachment over any other
Big Mek in Mega Armour9011% (3)1 of 55Kill 97, Soak 2×1, Madcap Meks (Unpredictable Genius over the game)Bits sibling Big Mek with Shokk Attack Gun takes the slot (in 30% of lists); Value lifted ×1.8 by fitted multipliers (heal 1.805)
Hunta Rig1657% (2)5 of 55Kill 80, Hold 10, Soak 8, Score 2×1, War HordeBBattlewagon does a like job and is taken in 26% of lists; Value lifted ×1.9 by fitted multipliers (cp 1.88)
Gunwagon1500% (0)20 of 55Kill 88, Hold 5, Soak 5, Score 2×1, War HordeBBattlewagon does a like job and is taken in 26% of lists; 95% of its Value comes from its best detachment over any other
Deff Dread1304% (1)10 of 55Kill 94, Soak 3, Hold 2×1, Dread Mob (Try Dat Button! over the game)Cno flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see

Space Wolves

12 tournament lists; 21 ranked units, 18 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.11; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: artOfWar.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Wolf Guard Terminators31092% (11)15 of 21Kill 62, Hold 30, Soak 4, Score 3×10, Saga of the BeastslayerAarrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board; durable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value
Wolf Priest7050% (6)19 of 21Kill 89, Hold 5, Score 3, Presence 1, Soak 1×1, Ironstorm SpearheadBleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form; spawns or returns models
Arjac Rockfist9558% (7)14 of 21Kill 95, Hold 2, Soak 2×1, Ironstorm SpearheadAarrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board; Epic Hero or aura on nearby friends
Wolf Guard Battle Leader6533% (4)17 of 21Kill 91, Hold 4, Score 2, Soak 2×1, Ironstorm SpearheadSleader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form
Wolf Scouts9033% (4)16 of 21Kill 98, Soak 1×6, Ironstorm SpearheadBdeploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial
Fenrisian Wolves7525% (3)18 of 21Kill 97, Soak 2×10, Saga of the BeastslayerBcheap small unit: actions, secondaries and objective grabs

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Wulfen850% (0)7 of 21Kill 97, Soak 2×5, Saga of the BeastslayerCThunderwolf Cavalry does a like job and is taken in 58% of lists
Iron Priest508% (1)5 of 21Kill 90, Hold 5, Score 2, Soak 2×1, Ironstorm SpearheadFLogan Grimnar does a like job and is taken in 92% of lists; Value lifted ×1.8 by fitted multipliers (heal 1.805)
Murderfang15017% (2)3 of 21Kill 98, Soak 2×1, Ironstorm SpearheadCArjac Rockfist does a like job and is taken in 58% of lists
Wulfen Dreadnought1350% (0)12 of 21Kill 97, Soak 3×1, Ironstorm SpearheadCVenerable Dreadnought does a like job and is taken in 33% of lists
Blood Claws27017% (2)8 of 21Hold 56, Kill 33, Score 10, Soak 1×20, Champions of FenrisCcostly centrepiece: a big slot of the list in one model
Ragnar Blackmane908% (1)11 of 21Kill 96, Hold 1, Soak 1×1, Ironstorm SpearheadCLogan Grimnar does a like job and is taken in 92% of lists

Thousand Sons

9 tournament lists; 35 ranked units, 24 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share -0.13; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: redundantRolling.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Sorcerer9578% (7)33 of 35Kill 93, Score 2, Presence 2, Hold 1×1, Changehost of DeceitSenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; leader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form
Sorcerer in Terminator Armour10067% (6)30 of 35Kill 93, Hold 2, Score 2, Soak 2, Presence 1×1, Changehost of DeceitBenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; leader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form
Chaos Rhino8044% (4)34 of 35Kill 64, Hold 20, Score 9, Presence 3, Soak 3, Actions 2×1, Changehost of Deceit or 7 othersStransport: what it carries and delivers; durable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value
Scarab Occult Terminators18067% (6)27 of 35Kill 85, Hold 8, Soak 3, Score 3×5, Changehost of DeceitAenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Magnus the Red45567% (6)24 of 35Kill 92, Soak 4, Hold 3, Score 1×1, Changehost of DeceitSenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; arrives from reserves: threat and objectives anywhere on the board
Infernal Master10044% (4)28 of 35Kill 96, Score 1, Presence 1×1, Changehost of DeceitSenabler of the army rule (Synapse, orders, Cabal, a boss, command points): its worth lands on other units; leader: its buff goes to the squad it joins, and Value is its solo form

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Kairos Fateweaver3050% (0)2 of 35Kill 90, Soak 4, Hold 4, Score 1×1, Changehost of Deceit–Value lifted ×2.2 by fitted multipliers (cp 1.88); costly centrepiece: a big slot of the list in one model
Screamers1600% (0)5 of 35Kill 92, Soak 3, Hold 3, Score 2×6, Changehost of Deceit or 7 others–Tzaangor Enlightened does a like job and is taken in 67% of lists
Maulerfiend12011% (1)1 of 35Kill 93, Soak 3, Hold 2×1, Changehost of Deceit or 7 othersCno flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see
Helbrute1100% (0)9 of 35Kill 93, Soak 3, Hold 2, Score 1×1, Changehost of Deceit or 7 othersDno flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see
Heldrake1750% (0)11 of 35Kill 97, Soak 2×1, Changehost of Deceit or 7 othersDno flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see
Lord of Change3200% (0)12 of 35Kill 93, Soak 3, Hold 2, Score 1×1, Changehost of Deceit–Magnus the Red does a like job and is taken in 67% of lists; costly centrepiece: a big slot of the list in one model

World Eaters

16 tournament lists; 30 ranked units, 25 taken by at least one list; ρ Value–share 0.46; reviewers' 11th-edition lists: redPath, tacticalSugar, exalted.

Underrated by us (players take them far more):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Chaos Rhino7550% (8)30 of 30Kill 49, Hold 29, Score 13, Presence 5, Actions 3, Soak 2×1, Khorne Daemonkin (Blood Tithe over the game)B B Atransport: what it carries and delivers; durable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value
Jakhals130100% (16)20 of 30Kill 71, Hold 16, Score 11, Soak 2×20, Cult of Blood (Idol of Infinite Rage)S S Scheap bodies: screen, objective holder or trade piece
Chaos Spawn9538% (6)26 of 30Kill 92, Hold 3, Score 2, Soak 2×2, Berzerker WarbandA B Cdeploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial
Forgefiend14063% (10)14 of 30Kill 93, Soak 3, Hold 3, Score 1×1, Brazen EnginesA S SBattle-shock pressure on the enemy army
Goremongers7531% (5)25 of 30Kill 78, Score 11, Hold 9, Soak 1, Presence 1×8, Cult of Blood (Idol of Infinite Rage)B C Bdeploys forward (Infiltrators or Scouts): early objectives and denial
Defiler27038% (6)21 of 30Kill 93, Hold 3, Soak 3, Score 1×1, Brazen EnginesA A ABattle-shock pressure on the enemy army; durable for its points (top third on Soak in its army): holds ground, and Soak is about 2% of Value

Overrated by us (we rank them high, players rarely take them):

UnitPtsShareOur rankLinesBest formLettersMissing ingredient (guess)
Bloodthirster3200% (0)15 of 30Kill 93, Soak 3, Hold 3, Score 1×1, Vessels of Wrath (+1 AP)B A CAngron does a like job and is taken in 44% of lists; costly centrepiece: a big slot of the list in one model
Maulerfiend14019% (3)9 of 30Kill 94, Soak 3, Hold 2, Score 1×1, Brazen EnginesB C Cno flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see
Heldrake1750% (0)18 of 30Kill 98, Soak 2×1, Brazen EnginesD D Dno flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see
Bloodletters9031% (5)6 of 30Kill 88, Hold 6, Score 4, Soak 2×10, Possessed SlaughterbandS A Ano flag in our data: likely the meta or a rival we can't see
Lord Invocatus10013% (2)13 of 30Kill 95, Soak 2, Hold 2, Score 1×1, Khorne Daemonkin (Blood Tithe over the game)C B ADaemon Prince of Khorne does a like job and is taken in 63% of lists
Khârn the Betrayer11544% (7)1 of 30Kill 98×1, Possessed SlaughterbandS A AValue lifted ×1.8 by fitted multipliers (heal 1.805)